TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13107999
Played Sep 10Finished
Mateusz Galus
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311711811117711
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:06 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
1311711811117711
H2H Mateusz Galus 2–6 Dmytro Skvarskyi Mateusz Galus has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:06What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Skvarskyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Galus 1610 vs Skvarskyi 1727
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Galus 80% vs Skvarskyi 100%
Skvarskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Galus 50% vs Skvarskyi 90%
Skvarskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Galus +2 · Skvarskyi +5
Skvarskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Skvarskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvarskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGalus 2.25 / Skvarskyi 1.54
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13107999
Galus2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 35 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Skvarskyi1.54
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite66% won 65 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeGalus2wins
AwaySkvarskyi6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGalus50%2 of 4
AwaySkvarskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Galus4Skvarskyi4n = 8split evenly
S2Galus5Skvarskyi3n = 8Galus took 5 of 8
S3Galus2Skvarskyi6n = 8Skvarskyi took 6 of 8
S4Galus3Skvarskyi4n = 7Skvarskyi took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricGalusSkvarskyiG − SBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match37.440.4−3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGalusSkvarskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 658 vs 139 / 20452.9%68.1%348 / 658 vs 139 / 204Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiGalus 2.25/Skvarskyi 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.4%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus—13781172D. Skvarskyi—1111117113
WJul 15 · 07:00M. Galus—111110113D. Skvarskyi—781291
WApr 14 · 05:00M. Galus—1111133D. Skvarskyi—55110
LApr 13 · 07:30M. Galus—11881272D. Skvarskyi—8111110113
LApr 9 · 11:30M. Galus—1111451D. Skvarskyi—13711113
LApr 7 · 09:30M. Galus—31011101D. Skvarskyi—11127123
LFeb 25 · 09:30M. Galus—3111071D. Skvarskyi—11912113
LFeb 24 · 08:30M. Galus—911941D. Skvarskyi—11411113
M. Galus10
LSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122WAug 31 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.7211111081M. Galus1.9361312113WAug 31 · 12:00B. Molka2.316540M. Galus1.501111113LAug 31 · 10:30M. Galus1.917780M. Lysakowski1.781111113WAug 31 · 08:30S. Radlo1.83251141M. Galus1.8311119113WAug 31 · 06:30P. Gola1.8612760M. Galus1.801411113WAug 31 · 05:30M. Stepien1.8611118392M. Galus1.83591111113LAug 30 · 22:45B. Molka2.10131158123M. Galus1.651161111102LAug 30 · 21:35M. Galus1.687770J. Masternak2.051111113LAug 30 · 19:35M. Stepien1.811211113M. Galus1.8310880
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 10 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko1.8511311692D. Skvarskyi1.85911811113WSep 10 · 06:10D. Skvarskyi1.471111113M. Stepien2.509480WSep 9 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.5351111133M. Burkacki1.471187111WSep 9 · 12:00D. Stapor2.1811781292D. Skvarskyi1.568111110113WSep 9 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.43511117113S. Wloszek2.4811961192WSep 9 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.5011711752D. Skvarskyi1.47911911113WSep 9 · 06:30P. Gola2.801311910102D. Skvarskyi1.351171112123LSep 9 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.761411113D. Skvarskyi1.9012460WSep 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.8711111410113M. Lysakowski1.83613121232WSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113
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