TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108070
Played Sep 10Finished
Maksim Ovcharenko
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119311118611911
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
119311118611911
H2H Maksim Ovcharenko 6–13 Dmytro Skvarskyi Maksim Ovcharenko has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Skvarskyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovcharenko 1742 vs Skvarskyi 1727
Ovcharenko
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovcharenko 80% vs Skvarskyi 100%
Skvarskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovcharenko 70% vs Skvarskyi 90%
Skvarskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovcharenko +4 · Skvarskyi +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvarskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvarskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvcharenko 1.85 / Skvarskyi 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13108070
Ovcharenko1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Skvarskyi1.85
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvcharenko2wins
AwaySkvarskyi8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvcharenko0%0 of 6
AwaySkvarskyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovcharenko6Skvarskyi4n = 10Ovcharenko took 6 of 10
S2Ovcharenko3Skvarskyi7n = 10Skvarskyi took 7 of 10
S3Ovcharenko6Skvarskyi4n = 10Ovcharenko took 6 of 10
S4Ovcharenko3Skvarskyi7n = 10Skvarskyi took 7 of 10
S5Ovcharenko1Skvarskyi5n = 6Skvarskyi took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvcharenkoSkvarskyiO − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.144.3−3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvcharenkoSkvarskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 175 vs 139 / 20462.9%68.1%110 / 175 vs 139 / 204Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiOvcharenko 1.85/Skvarskyi 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko—11311692D. Skvarskyi—911811113
LSep 3 · 07:00M. Ovcharenko—831161D. Skvarskyi—11119113
LMar 25 · 15:10M. Ovcharenko—1268101D. Skvarskyi—101111123
WMar 25 · 12:25M. Ovcharenko—1031112113D. Skvarskyi—121171092
WMar 24 · 08:25M. Ovcharenko—61111113D. Skvarskyi—115671
LMar 23 · 11:30M. Ovcharenko—11971172D. Skvarskyi—511118113
LMar 23 · 08:25M. Ovcharenko—9111114122D. Skvarskyi—117716143
LFeb 28 · 09:35M. Ovcharenko—116111092D. Skvarskyi—411812113
LFeb 27 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko—115791D. Skvarskyi—41111113
LFeb 25 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko—11117742D. Skvarskyi—751111113
M. Ovcharenko10
WSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760WSep 10 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.461091311113M. Stepien2.42121111632WSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113WSep 8 · 11:00D. Stapor2.75116891M. Ovcharenko1.4191111113WSep 8 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.47119118113B. Molka2.5051161182LSep 8 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.291110661S. Wloszek3.0591211113WSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350LSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.3311880S. Radlo2.851311113LSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113WSep 10 · 06:10D. Skvarskyi1.471111113M. Stepien2.509480WSep 9 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.5351111133M. Burkacki1.471187111WSep 9 · 12:00D. Stapor2.1811781292D. Skvarskyi1.568111110113WSep 9 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.43511117113S. Wloszek2.4811961192WSep 9 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.5011711752D. Skvarskyi1.47911911113WSep 9 · 06:30P. Gola2.801311910102D. Skvarskyi1.351171112123LSep 9 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.761411113D. Skvarskyi1.9012460WSep 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.8711111410113M. Lysakowski1.83613121232WSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113
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