TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106774
Played Sep 10Finished
Dmytro Skvarskyi
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114118––––
Marcin Stepien
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:42 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Skvarskyi to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
119114118––––
H2H Dmytro Skvarskyi 16–3 Marcin Stepien Marcin Stepien has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Skvarskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-3 in 19
Skvarskyi
Correct
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvarskyi 1716 vs Stepien 1646
Skvarskyi
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvarskyi 100% vs Stepien 40%
Skvarskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvarskyi 90% vs Stepien 60%
Skvarskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvarskyi +5 · Stepien -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Skvarskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvarskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvarskyi 1.47 / Stepien 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Skvarskyi)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13106774
Skvarskyi1.47
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite66% won 65 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Stepien2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 34 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvarskyi8wins
AwayStepien2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkvarskyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvarskyi100%5 of 5
AwayStepien40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvarskyi5Stepien5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvarskyi7Stepien3n = 10Skvarskyi took 7 of 10
S3Skvarskyi7Stepien3n = 10Skvarskyi took 7 of 10
S4Skvarskyi4Stepien3n = 7Skvarskyi took 4 of 7
S5Skvarskyi3Stepien0n = 3Skvarskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvarskyiStepienSkvarskyi − StepienBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.733.0+6.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvarskyiStepienBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 203 vs 644 / 117168%55%138 / 203 vs 644 / 1171Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvarskyiSkvarskyi 1.47/Stepien 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.4%
Skvarskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skvarskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 06:10D. Skvarskyi—1111113M. Stepien—9480
WSep 7 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi—811911113M. Stepien—11511142
LSep 1 · 11:30D. Skvarskyi—6511111M. Stepien—11113133
LJul 17 · 11:00D. Skvarskyi—2111751M. Stepien—11619113
WJul 15 · 11:30D. Skvarskyi—11711113M. Stepien—911651
WApr 13 · 09:00D. Skvarskyi—911119113M. Stepien—11861192
WApr 12 · 23:45D. Skvarskyi—1111133M. Stepien—14110
WApr 12 · 20:35D. Skvarskyi—1111113M. Stepien—6860
WApr 7 · 08:00D. Skvarskyi—551111113M. Stepien—11117892
WApr 6 · 15:00D. Skvarskyi—111111113M. Stepien—571391
D. Skvarskyi10
WSep 10 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko1.8511311692D. Skvarskyi1.85911811113WSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113WSep 9 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.5351111133M. Burkacki1.471187111WSep 9 · 12:00D. Stapor2.1811781292D. Skvarskyi1.568111110113WSep 9 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.43511117113S. Wloszek2.4811961192WSep 9 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.5011711752D. Skvarskyi1.47911911113WSep 9 · 06:30P. Gola2.801311910102D. Skvarskyi1.351171112123LSep 9 · 05:30M. Lysakowski1.761411113D. Skvarskyi1.9012460WSep 7 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi1.8711111410113M. Lysakowski1.83613121232WSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113
M. Stepien10
LSep 10 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.461091311113M. Stepien2.42121111632LSep 7 · 13:10M. Stepien1.48811711102B. Molka2.35115115123LSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113WSep 7 · 10:00B. Molka2.2511891192M. Stepien1.57511115113WSep 7 · 08:00S. Radlo2.419570M. Stepien1.461111113WSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330WSep 6 · 21:05J. Masternak3.309460M. Stepien1.301111113WSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien1.30911911123S. Wloszek2.93118116102
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