TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108000
Played Sep 10Finished
Maksim Ovcharenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117116––––
Szymon Radlo
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:02 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
116117116––––
H2H Maksim Ovcharenko 3–2 Szymon Radlo Szymon Radlo has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Ovcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovcharenko 1720 vs Radlo 1565
Ovcharenko
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovcharenko 80% vs Radlo 60%
Ovcharenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovcharenko 70% vs Radlo 40%
Ovcharenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovcharenko +4 · Radlo -2
Ovcharenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Ovcharenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvcharenko 1.44 / Radlo 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13108000
Ovcharenko1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 32 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Radlo2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 182 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeOvcharenko3wins
AwayRadlo2wins
Ovcharenko leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvcharenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayRadlo66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovcharenko2Radlo3n = 5Radlo took 3 of 5
S2Ovcharenko3Radlo2n = 5Ovcharenko took 3 of 5
S3Ovcharenko3Radlo2n = 5Ovcharenko took 3 of 5
S4Ovcharenko2Radlo1n = 3Ovcharenko took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricOvcharenkoRadloO − RBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match36.029.6+6.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvcharenkoRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 176 vs 366 / 72462.5%50.6%110 / 176 vs 366 / 724Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoOvcharenko 1.44/Radlo 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ovcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko—1111113S. Radlo—6760
WSep 8 · 13:40M. Ovcharenko—91111113S. Radlo—118231
LSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko—11880S. Radlo—1311113
WSep 4 · 11:00M. Ovcharenko—11116113S. Radlo—671151
LSep 3 · 08:30M. Ovcharenko—1091191S. Radlo—12117113
M. Ovcharenko10
LSep 10 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko1.8511311692D. Skvarskyi1.85911811113WSep 10 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.461091311113M. Stepien2.42121111632WSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113WSep 8 · 11:00D. Stapor2.75116891M. Ovcharenko1.4191111113WSep 8 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.47119118113B. Molka2.5051161182LSep 8 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.291110661S. Wloszek3.0591211113WSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350LSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.3311880S. Radlo2.851311113LSep 6 · 23:35M. Ovcharenko1.38712281B. Molka2.65111011113WSep 6 · 21:35D. Stapor3.253960M. Ovcharenko1.271111113
S. Radlo10
LSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek2.101311113S. Radlo1.6011290LSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113WSep 8 · 12:00B. Molka1.75137121082S. Radlo1.9511111012113WSep 8 · 10:30S. Radlo1.53141011133S. Wloszek2.2312129111WSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143LSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552WSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.3311880S. Radlo2.851311113LSep 7 · 12:40S. Radlo1.7115490M. Burkacki2.001711113LSep 7 · 11:00S. Radlo1.909490B. Molka1.801111113LSep 7 · 09:30S. Radlo2.101148101M. Lysakowski1.6091111123
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