TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108533
Played Sep 10Finished
Maksim Ovcharenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210611911119118
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
2.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:16 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMaksim Ovcharenko to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1210611911119118
H2H Maksim Ovcharenko 5–8 Sylwester Wloszek Maksim Ovcharenko has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Ovcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Wloszek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovcharenko 1702 vs Wloszek 1541
Ovcharenko
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovcharenko 60% vs Wloszek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovcharenko 60% vs Wloszek 40%
Ovcharenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovcharenko -2 · Wloszek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Ovcharenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvcharenko 1.36 / Wloszek 2.90
Signal prob.71% / 30%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13108533
Ovcharenko1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 32 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Wloszek2.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 129 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back18% 37 of 204
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvcharenko5wins
AwayWloszek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvcharenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayWloszek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovcharenko6Wloszek4n = 10Ovcharenko took 6 of 10
S2Ovcharenko4Wloszek6n = 10Wloszek took 6 of 10
S3Ovcharenko4Wloszek6n = 10Wloszek took 6 of 10
S4Ovcharenko5Wloszek4n = 9Ovcharenko took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvcharenkoWloszekO − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.737.5+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvcharenkoWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 176 vs 455 / 103862.5%43.8%110 / 176 vs 455 / 1038Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoOvcharenko 1.36/Wloszek 2.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ovcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko—1110661S. Wloszek—91211113
LSep 6 · 16:05M. Ovcharenko—63121182S. Wloszek—1111101113
LSep 3 · 13:10M. Ovcharenko—11710101S. Wloszek—61112123
WSep 3 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko—111113113S. Wloszek—441531
LFeb 23 · 10:30M. Ovcharenko—5870S. Wloszek—1111113
WFeb 21 · 11:35M. Ovcharenko—11116113S. Wloszek—771111
LFeb 20 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko—391171S. Wloszek—11117113
WFeb 17 · 14:30M. Ovcharenko—125117113S. Wloszek—101161182
WFeb 17 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko—91211113S. Wloszek—1110991
WFeb 15 · 21:05M. Ovcharenko—13117113S. Wloszek—1171181
M. Ovcharenko10
LSep 10 · 09:30M. Ovcharenko1.4981090M. Galus2.341112113LSep 10 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko1.8511311692D. Skvarskyi1.85911811113WSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760WSep 10 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.461091311113M. Stepien2.42121111632WSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113WSep 8 · 11:00D. Stapor2.75116891M. Ovcharenko1.4191111113WSep 8 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.47119118113B. Molka2.5051161182LSep 8 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.291110661S. Wloszek3.0591211113WSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350LSep 8 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.3311880S. Radlo2.851311113
S. Wloszek10
LSep 10 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.35951171D. Skvarskyi1.5011116113WSep 10 · 09:00S. Wloszek2.551381112123M. Stepien1.411111814102WSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122WSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek2.101311113S. Radlo1.6011290LSep 9 · 12:40P. Gola1.381111113S. Wloszek2.806660LSep 9 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.0561111113S. Wloszek1.66118971LSep 9 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.43511117113S. Wloszek2.4811961192LSep 9 · 09:00M. Lysakowski1.41911115113S. Wloszek2.6011591182LSep 9 · 07:00D. Stapor1.7211811113S. Wloszek2.00611951WSep 8 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.291110661S. Wloszek3.0591211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.