TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103464
Played Sep 9Finished
Mateusz Burkacki
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611118119117––
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
1.66
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Burkacki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
611118119117––
H2H Mateusz Burkacki 10–15 Sylwester Wloszek Mateusz Burkacki has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:30What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Wloszek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-15 in 25
Wloszek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burkacki 1479 vs Wloszek 1542
Wloszek
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burkacki 40% vs Wloszek 20%
Burkacki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burkacki 40% vs Wloszek 20%
Burkacki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burkacki -2 · Wloszek -3
Wloszek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wloszek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurkacki 2.05 / Wloszek 1.66
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Wloszek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13103464
Burkacki2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 50 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Wloszek1.66
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 60 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it72% 49 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurkacki6wins
AwayWloszek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBurkacki leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurkacki83.3%5 of 6
AwayWloszek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burkacki6Wloszek4n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S2Burkacki6Wloszek4n = 10Burkacki took 6 of 10
S3Burkacki5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S4Burkacki1Wloszek6n = 7Wloszek took 6 of 7
S5Burkacki3Wloszek0n = 3Burkacki took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurkackiWloszekB − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.436.9+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurkackiWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 217 vs 452 / 103239.6%43.8%86 / 217 vs 452 / 1032Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WloszekBurkacki 2.05/Wloszek 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Wloszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki—1011118113S. Wloszek—12281162
WSep 3 · 11:00M. Burkacki—1111711113S. Wloszek—76111382
LSep 2 · 08:30M. Burkacki—6370S. Wloszek—1111113
WJul 7 · 06:30M. Burkacki—11811123S. Wloszek—9116101
LJul 6 · 07:30M. Burkacki—913761S. Wloszek—111111113
LJul 5 · 19:05M. Burkacki—114571S. Wloszek—71111113
WJul 2 · 12:40M. Burkacki—1111113S. Wloszek—1760
LJul 2 · 10:30M. Burkacki—571281S. Wloszek—111110113
WJul 1 · 06:30M. Burkacki—1111113S. Wloszek—7980
WJun 24 · 12:40M. Burkacki—131189133S. Wloszek—1171111112
M. Burkacki10
LSep 9 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.5351111133M. Burkacki1.471187111LSep 9 · 09:30P. Gola1.561012118113M. Burkacki2.18121091152LSep 9 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.5011711752D. Skvarskyi1.47911911113WSep 9 · 07:30M. Lysakowski1.39812100M. Burkacki2.801114123WSep 9 · 06:00M. Burkacki2.1811118113D. Stapor1.56961191LSep 8 · 13:10D. Stapor1.60111157113M. Burkacki2.2066111182WSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.101011118113S. Wloszek1.6012281162LSep 8 · 09:30D. Stapor1.601111113M. Burkacki2.108660LSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143LSep 8 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.491111113M. Burkacki2.459350
S. Wloszek10
LSep 10 · 13:10S. Wloszek2.8071170M. Galus1.391113113LSep 10 · 11:00M. Ovcharenko1.36126911113S. Wloszek2.90101111982LSep 10 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.35951171D. Skvarskyi1.5011116113WSep 10 · 09:00S. Wloszek2.551381112123M. Stepien1.411111814102WSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122WSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek2.101311113S. Radlo1.6011290LSep 9 · 12:40P. Gola1.381111113S. Wloszek2.806660LSep 9 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.43511117113S. Wloszek2.4811961192LSep 9 · 09:00M. Lysakowski1.41911115113S. Wloszek2.6011591182LSep 8 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.101011118113S. Wloszek1.6012281162
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