TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108314
Played Sep 10Finished
Sylwester Wloszek
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
131181111812141210
Marcin Stepien
Away
1.41
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:05 and never touched — 68.4% is still 68.4%
Graded at full timeMarcin Stepien to win
68.4%
68.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
110 points played in total.
Set by set
131181111812141210
H2H Sylwester Wloszek 34–79 Marcin Stepien Sylwester Wloszek has won 34 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:05What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (64%)
Stepien
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-79 in 113
Stepien
Wrong
gap of 45 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloszek 1541 vs Stepien 1617
Stepien
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloszek 40% vs Stepien 20%
Wloszek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloszek 30% vs Stepien 50%
Stepien
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloszek +2 · Stepien -4
Stepien
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Stepien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepien form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloszek 2.55 / Stepien 1.41
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Stepien)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13108314
Wloszek2.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 129 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back18% 37 of 204
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 127
Stepien1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 198 of 340
Up 2–0, closes it94% 137 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it80% 160 of 199
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloszek3wins
AwayStepien7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStepien leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloszek33.3%1 of 3
AwayStepien71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloszek3Stepien7n = 10Stepien took 7 of 10
S2Wloszek2Stepien8n = 10Stepien took 8 of 10
S3Wloszek6Stepien4n = 10Wloszek took 6 of 10
S4Wloszek2Stepien6n = 8Stepien took 6 of 8
S5Wloszek2Stepien1n = 3Wloszek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloszekStepienW − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.743.0−6.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloszekStepienBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 1036 vs 644 / 117043.8%55%454 / 1036 vs 644 / 1170Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienWloszek 2.55/Stepien 1.41
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.4%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wloszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 23:05S. Wloszek—8330M. Stepien—1111113
LSep 6 · 20:05S. Wloszek—118116102M. Stepien—911911123
LAug 27 · 08:00S. Wloszek—8930M. Stepien—1111113
WAug 25 · 10:00S. Wloszek—961211113M. Stepien—111110972
WAug 20 · 06:00S. Wloszek—81311123M. Stepien—11119101
LAug 18 · 10:30S. Wloszek—1281151M. Stepien—14119113
LAug 17 · 12:40S. Wloszek—119961M. Stepien—91111113
LAug 17 · 09:00S. Wloszek—5101191M. Stepien—11128113
LAug 13 · 07:30S. Wloszek—581381M. Stepien—111111113
WAug 12 · 05:00S. Wloszek—111598113M. Stepien—713111182
S. Wloszek10
LSep 10 · 11:00M. Ovcharenko1.36126911113S. Wloszek2.90101111982LSep 10 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.35951171D. Skvarskyi1.5011116113WSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122WSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek2.101311113S. Radlo1.6011290LSep 9 · 12:40P. Gola1.381111113S. Wloszek2.806660LSep 9 · 11:30M. Burkacki2.0561111113S. Wloszek1.66118971LSep 9 · 10:30D. Skvarskyi1.43511117113S. Wloszek2.4811961192LSep 9 · 09:00M. Lysakowski1.41911115113S. Wloszek2.6011591182LSep 9 · 07:00D. Stapor1.7211811113S. Wloszek2.00611951WSep 8 · 12:40B. Molka—8870S. Wloszek—1111113
M. Stepien10
LSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 06:10D. Skvarskyi1.471111113M. Stepien2.509480LSep 10 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.461091311113M. Stepien2.42121111632LSep 7 · 13:10M. Stepien1.48811711102B. Molka2.35115115123LSep 7 · 12:00M. Stepien2.4111511142D. Skvarskyi1.46811911113WSep 7 · 10:00B. Molka2.2511891192M. Stepien1.57511115113WSep 7 · 08:00S. Radlo2.419570M. Stepien1.461111113WSep 7 · 07:00M. Stepien1.361113113M. Burkacki2.8071160LSep 7 · 06:00M. Lysakowski2.01124911143M. Stepien1.661011118122WSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien1.351111113S. Wloszek3.008330
Upcoming Matches
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M. Stepien
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