TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108196
Played Sep 10Finished
Mateusz Galus
Home
1.74
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14129111210114––
Szymon Radlo
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Galus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
14129111210114––
H2H Mateusz Galus 24–30 Szymon Radlo Mateusz Galus has won 24 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Galus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-30 in 54
Radlo
Wrong
gap of 6 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Galus 1615 vs Radlo 1565
Galus
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Galus 40% vs Radlo 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Galus 50% vs Radlo 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Galus -2 · Radlo -3
Radlo
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Galus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGalus 1.74 / Radlo 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Galus)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13108196
Galus1.74
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 139 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it97% 67 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 98 of 126
Radlo1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 182 of 358
Down 0–1, comes back24% 39 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGalus3wins
AwayRadlo7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRadlo leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGalus75%3 of 4
AwayRadlo100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Galus4Radlo6n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10
S2Galus6Radlo4n = 10Galus took 6 of 10
S3Galus3Radlo7n = 10Radlo took 7 of 10
S4Galus5Radlo2n = 7Galus took 5 of 7
S5Galus0Radlo4n = 4Radlo took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGalusRadloG − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.642.6−1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGalusRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 658 vs 366 / 72452.9%50.6%348 / 658 vs 366 / 724Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GalusGalus 1.74/Radlo 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Galus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 08:30M. Galus—11119113S. Radlo—251141
LAug 30 · 17:05M. Galus—811611102S. Radlo—117118123
LAug 27 · 11:30M. Galus—6111261S. Radlo—111310113
LAug 25 · 11:30M. Galus—14118792S. Radlo—1291111113
LAug 20 · 05:30M. Galus—911714142S. Radlo—1191112163
WAug 18 · 07:30M. Galus—111115113S. Radlo—991791
WAug 4 · 11:00M. Galus—1113133S. Radlo—511110
LAug 3 · 07:00M. Galus—81190S. Radlo—1113113
LJul 30 · 11:00M. Galus—710121142S. Radlo—1112109113
LJul 21 · 13:10M. Galus—119120S. Radlo—1311143
M. Galus10
WSep 10 · 09:30M. Ovcharenko1.4981090M. Galus2.341112113LSep 10 · 07:30S. Wloszek2.558111110143M. Galus1.46116412122LSep 10 · 07:00M. Galus2.2513781172D. Skvarskyi1.541111117113WAug 31 · 13:30M. Lysakowski1.7211111081M. Galus1.9361312113WAug 31 · 12:00B. Molka2.316540M. Galus1.501111113LAug 31 · 10:30M. Galus1.917780M. Lysakowski1.781111113WAug 31 · 08:30S. Radlo1.83251141M. Galus1.8311119113WAug 31 · 06:30P. Gola1.8612760M. Galus1.801411113WAug 31 · 05:30M. Stepien1.8611118392M. Galus1.83591111113LAug 30 · 22:45B. Molka2.10131158123M. Galus1.651161111102
S. Radlo10
LSep 10 · 12:00D. Skvarskyi1.5051114113S. Radlo2.401171231WSep 10 · 10:30S. Radlo2.291311113M. Stepien1.5111890LSep 10 · 06:30M. Ovcharenko1.441111113S. Radlo2.506760LSep 10 · 05:50S. Wloszek2.101311113S. Radlo1.6011290LSep 8 · 13:40S. Radlo1.81118231M. Ovcharenko1.9091111113WSep 8 · 12:00B. Molka1.75137121082S. Radlo1.9511111012113WSep 8 · 10:30S. Radlo1.53141011133S. Wloszek2.2312129111WSep 8 · 08:30M. Burkacki2.2597120S. Radlo1.541111143LSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor1.8512111113113S. Radlo1.8514651552LAug 31 · 08:30S. Radlo1.83251141M. Galus1.8311119113
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