TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103823
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Cesak
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210911711811––
Zdenek Dusek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Cesak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Cesak above · Zdenek Dusek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Michal Cesak at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Michal Cesak 0–2 Zdenek Dusek Michal Cesak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dusek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cesak 1493 vs Dusek 1361
Cesak
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cesak 40% vs Dusek 60%
Dusek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cesak 50% vs Dusek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cesak +1 · Dusek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cesak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCesak 2.00 / Dusek 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cesak)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13103823
Cesak2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 7 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back57% 4 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back40% 2 of 5
Dusek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite43% won 16 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCesak0wins
AwayDusek2wins
Dusek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricCesakDusekC − DBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.039.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCesakDusekBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 182 vs 198 / 48657.7%40.7%105 / 182 vs 198 / 486Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CesakCesak 2.00/Dusek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cesak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 6 · 17:45M. Cesak—84140Z. Dusek—1111163
LMay 6 · 16:10M. Cesak—611851Z. Dusek—11711113
M. Cesak10
LSep 9 · 15:50P. Cibik2.10115811113M. Cesak1.6781111662WSep 2 · 17:30M. Nemec3.507870M. Cesak1.281111113LSep 2 · 16:50M. Cesak1.44711415102P. Cibik2.631151113123WSep 2 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky3.5041151192M. Cesak1.28117118113LSep 2 · 14:50M. Nemec2.7513117113M. Cesak1.401191131LAug 26 · 17:20M. Juhasz1.8051111113M. Cesak1.91115991LAug 26 · 16:20J. Vintr2.001111113M. Cesak1.736660LAug 26 · 15:50S. Matousch3.0031111113M. Cesak1.36118741WAug 26 · 14:50M. Cesak1.73711911113M. Juhasz2.0011611582WAug 16 · 13:49R. Zeman2.0011117572M. Cesak1.73261111113
Z. Dusek10
WSep 9 · 15:20S. Matousch1.8082131142Z. Dusek1.911111119113WAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113LAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:20S. Matousch2.251111123Z. Dusek1.5736100WAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.61821113113Z. Dusek2.20111161152WAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562LAug 27 · 18:20T. Jr1.331111153Z. Dusek3.2546130LAug 24 · 21:23T. Jr1.361111123Z. Dusek3.0067100
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