TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12443764
Played Aug 16Finished
Radek Zeman
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
112116711511711
Michal Cesak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRadek Zeman above · Michal Cesak below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 82 set 5, 7-11
82 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zeman 15–21 Michal Cesak Radek Zeman has won 15 of their 36 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Cesak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cesak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 2.00 / Cesak 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Cesak)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12443764
Zeman2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Cesak1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 45 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it74% 36 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman3wins
AwayCesak7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCesak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman66.7%2 of 3
AwayCesak85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman3Cesak7n = 10Cesak took 7 of 10
S2Zeman5Cesak5n = 10split evenly
S3Zeman5Cesak5n = 10split evenly
S4Zeman1Cesak6n = 7Cesak took 6 of 7
S5Zeman2Cesak2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanCesakZ − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.940.9−4.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanCesakBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 625 vs 102 / 17753%57.6%331 / 625 vs 102 / 177Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CesakZeman 2.00/Cesak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Cesak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cesak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 11:50R. Zeman—1211113M. Cesak—10760
LJun 16 · 17:50R. Zeman—5111181M. Cesak—11413113
LJun 16 · 15:50R. Zeman—111171122M. Cesak—138115113
WJun 14 · 11:20R. Zeman—711119113M. Cesak—11861192
LJun 11 · 17:55R. Zeman—471151M. Cesak—11117113
WJun 11 · 14:50R. Zeman—114118113M. Cesak—61191152
LJun 2 · 18:00R. Zeman—81330M. Cesak—1115113
LJun 2 · 14:50R. Zeman—1151110122M. Cesak—711812143
LMay 31 · 12:50R. Zeman—5118101M. Cesak—11811123
LMay 21 · 14:50R. Zeman—17760M. Cesak—1911113
R. Zeman10
WSep 6 · 13:24M. Nemec2.457960R. Zeman1.48111183LSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113LSep 6 · 11:20R. Zeman1.40711871M. Nemec2.7511911113LSep 6 · 10:20R. Zeman2.10141380P. Cibik1.671615113WSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260WSep 4 · 16:50R. Zeman1.441111113M. Nemec2.638770WSep 4 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky4.3310390R. Zeman1.201211113LSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462LAug 30 · 21:24P. Cibik1.731211113R. Zeman2.0010060LAug 30 · 20:20P. Cibik1.7311121110123R. Zeman2.00914812102
M. Cesak10
WSep 2 · 17:30M. Nemec3.507870M. Cesak1.281111113LSep 2 · 16:50M. Cesak1.44711415102P. Cibik2.631151113123WSep 2 · 15:20M. Kolbusovsky3.5041151192M. Cesak1.28117118113LSep 2 · 14:50M. Nemec2.7513117113M. Cesak1.401191131LAug 26 · 17:20M. Juhasz1.8051111113M. Cesak1.91115991LAug 26 · 16:20J. Vintr2.001111113M. Cesak1.736660LAug 26 · 15:50S. Matousch3.0031111113M. Cesak1.36118741WAug 26 · 14:50M. Cesak1.73711911113M. Juhasz2.0011611582WAug 16 · 12:50M. Nemec2.6375110M. Cesak1.441111133LAug 16 · 11:50M. Cesak1.5310760R. Zeman2.381211113
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