TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100847
Played Sep 10Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111210211117119
Yaroslav Stepanchuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Stepanchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Yaroslav Stepanchuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Yaroslav Stepanchuk at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 10–11 Yaroslav Stepanchuk Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stepanchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1501 vs Stepanchuk 1449
Sokoltsov
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 20% vs Stepanchuk 40%
Stepanchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 50% vs Stepanchuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +1 · Stepanchuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stepanchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stepanchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.91 / Stepanchuk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stepanchuk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100847
Sokoltsov1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Stepanchuk1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 89 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it70% 59 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov5wins
AwayStepanchuk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov60%3 of 5
AwayStepanchuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov5Stepanchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Sokoltsov6Stepanchuk4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S3Sokoltsov4Stepanchuk6n = 10Stepanchuk took 6 of 10
S4Sokoltsov4Stepanchuk3n = 7Sokoltsov took 4 of 7
S5Sokoltsov1Stepanchuk2n = 3Stepanchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovStepanchukSokoltsov − StepanchukBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.139.0−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovStepanchukBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 523 vs 294 / 61748.8%47.7%255 / 523 vs 294 / 617Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepanchukSokoltsov 1.91/Stepanchuk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stepanchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov—51111113Y. Stepanchuk—117841
LAug 17 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—12550Y. Stepanchuk—1411113
LJul 24 · 02:35Y. Sokoltsov—9930Y. Stepanchuk—1111113
WJun 26 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—11168113Y. Stepanchuk—9141181
WJun 23 · 18:55Y. Sokoltsov—11117113Y. Stepanchuk—971191
LJun 11 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—1111101562Y. Stepanchuk—791217113
WMay 1 · 24:30Y. Sokoltsov—1111113Y. Stepanchuk—6930
LMar 26 · 23:55Y. Sokoltsov—69131122Y. Stepanchuk—1111117113
LMar 18 · 03:25Y. Sokoltsov—116871Y. Stepanchuk—91111113
WFeb 25 · 23:55Y. Sokoltsov—811114113Y. Stepanchuk—11791182
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 10 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631012911113H. Kulishov1.44121011982LSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113LSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141WSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792
Y. Stepanchuk10
LSep 10 · 24:35Y. Stepanchuk1.67111141062M. Fomin2.10361112113LSep 9 · 23:35M. Skliar3.40611113113Y. Stepanchuk1.3011891122WSep 9 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113H. Kulishov1.80712591LSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961WSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113LSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113LSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 01:35O. Melashenko1.3611661192Y. Stepanchuk3.00711116113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Sokoltsov
Y. Stepanchuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.