TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101169
Played Sep 10Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121210911119118
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:45 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 103 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 66.1%
103 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 33–52 Hryhorii Kulishov Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 33 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:45What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-52 in 85
Kulishov
Wrong
gap of 19 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1488 vs Kulishov 1554
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 20% vs Kulishov 80%
Kulishov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 50% vs Kulishov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -4 · Kulishov +1
Sokoltsov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 2.63 / Kulishov 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kulishov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13101169
Sokoltsov2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Kulishov1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 189 of 301
Up 2–0, closes it95% 107 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it74% 144 of 194
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov3wins
AwayKulishov7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov66.7%2 of 3
AwayKulishov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S2Sokoltsov3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S3Sokoltsov3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov3Kulishov5n = 8Kulishov took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKulishovS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.539.8−7.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 522 vs 482 / 93848.7%51.4%254 / 522 vs 482 / 938Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovSokoltsov 2.63/Kulishov 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—1011911113H. Kulishov—12911682
LAug 17 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov—711291H. Kulishov—11811113
LAug 12 · 23:05Y. Sokoltsov—114841H. Kulishov—91111113
LAug 10 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—5640H. Kulishov—1111113
LAug 7 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—9111021H. Kulishov—11912113
LAug 3 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov—591181H. Kulishov—11117113
WJul 30 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—12811113H. Kulishov—1011981
LJul 27 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—851151H. Kulishov—11111113
LJul 23 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—5960H. Kulishov—1111113
WJul 20 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—116611123H. Kulishov—911117102
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 10 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.91912211113Y. Stepanchuk1.80111011792LSep 9 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.506850M. Fomin2.501111113LSep 9 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.8091390D. Kim1.911115113LSep 8 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.571412113Y. Sokoltsov2.25121060LSep 8 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111711472D. Us2.20611211113WSep 8 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.5391111163M. Fomin2.381163141WSep 7 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801181111113D. Kim1.9113116862WSep 7 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.207690LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792
H. Kulishov10
WSep 9 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.8391111113D. Kim1.83117881LSep 9 · 22:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113H. Kulishov1.80712591WSep 7 · 19:55V. Kobets2.2510590H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 7 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.806171251H. Kulishov1.91111514113WSep 7 · 17:25P. Ishchyk2.20831191H. Kulishov1.6111115113LSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141LSep 7 · 13:25O. Melashenko2.2011611113H. Kulishov1.61711991WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590
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