TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13047576
Played Aug 30Finished
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Home
1.66
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11710121311811119
Michal Szostak
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
11710121311811119
H2H Wiekiera Arkadiusz 18–21 Michal Szostak Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Arkadiusz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArkadiusz 1.66 / Szostak 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13047576
Arkadiusz1.66
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 135 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it71% 96 of 135
Szostak2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 29 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back31% 11 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeArkadiusz6wins
AwaySzostak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderArkadiusz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeArkadiusz75%6 of 8
AwaySzostakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Arkadiusz8Szostak2n = 10Arkadiusz took 8 of 10
S2Arkadiusz6Szostak4n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S3Arkadiusz2Szostak8n = 10Szostak took 8 of 10
S4Arkadiusz6Szostak3n = 9Arkadiusz took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricArkadiuszSzostakA − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.841.5+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArkadiuszSzostakBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 984 vs 128 / 25556.1%50.2%552 / 984 vs 128 / 255Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.339.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszArkadiusz 1.66/Szostak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 11:05W. Arkadiusz—1111153M. Szostak—98130
LAug 25 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz—111081192M. Szostak—912116113
WAug 25 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz—11179123M. Szostak—61511101
WAug 22 · 06:35W. Arkadiusz—11137133M. Szostak—71111111
WJun 15 · 18:30W. Arkadiusz—13163113M. Szostak—11141171
LJun 9 · 16:30W. Arkadiusz—91111101M. Szostak—11136123
LJun 6 · 14:05W. Arkadiusz—91112131M. Szostak—11614153
WJun 6 · 09:05W. Arkadiusz—1110811113M. Szostak—91211982
LJun 3 · 17:00W. Arkadiusz—117971M. Szostak—81111113
WMay 30 · 10:35W. Arkadiusz—111112113M. Szostak—841471
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471LSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113WSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123
M. Szostak10
WAug 30 · 12:05K. Patryk1.6014781192M. Szostak2.201211119113LAug 30 · 11:05M. Szostak1.9598130W. Arkadiusz1.751111153LAug 30 · 10:05M. Szostak2.10115691L. Buklat1.6031111113WAug 30 · 08:35M. Szostak2.0011121111113P. Kamil1.7213146982WAug 30 · 06:35M. Szostak2.1081112113K. Kos1.651171061WAug 25 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.75111081192M. Szostak1.95912116113LAug 25 · 20:30M. Szostak1.9761511101W. Arkadiusz1.6911179123LAug 25 · 18:30P. Odelski1.807111011113M. Szostak1.8611512942WAug 25 · 17:30M. Szostak1.785111310113J. Komorowicz1.86117111272LAug 25 · 16:30K. Patryk1.461111113M. Szostak2.409690
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