TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13046499
Played Aug 30Finished
Michal Szostak
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131214116119118
Pasek Kamil
Away
1.72
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePasek Kamil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
106 points played in total.
Set by set
11131214116119118
H2H Michal Szostak 0–2 Pasek Kamil Michal Szostak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Kamil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szostak 1409 vs Kamil 1415
Kamil
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostak 60% vs Kamil 80%
Kamil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostak 60% vs Kamil 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostak +2 · Kamil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kamil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kamil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostak 2.00 / Kamil 1.72
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kamil)+0.2pp
TT Cup · #13046499
Szostak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 29 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back31% 11 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Kamil1.72
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 20 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSzostak0wins
AwayKamil2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKamil leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSzostakKamilS − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.543.5−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostakKamilBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 253 vs 110 / 19150.6%57.6%128 / 253 vs 110 / 191Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KamilSzostak 2.00/Kamil 1.72
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kamil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szostak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 15 · 16:00M. Szostak—111411572P. Kamil—6121311113
LMay 11 · 16:30M. Szostak—71080P. Kamil—1112113
M. Szostak10
LAug 30 · 14:05W. Arkadiusz1.661110138113M. Szostak2.10712111192WAug 30 · 12:05K. Patryk1.6014781192M. Szostak2.201211119113LAug 30 · 11:05M. Szostak1.9598130W. Arkadiusz1.751111153LAug 30 · 10:05M. Szostak2.10115691L. Buklat1.6031111113WAug 30 · 06:35M. Szostak2.1081112113K. Kos1.651171061WAug 25 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.75111081192M. Szostak1.95912116113LAug 25 · 20:30M. Szostak1.9761511101W. Arkadiusz1.6911179123LAug 25 · 18:30P. Odelski1.807111011113M. Szostak1.8611512942WAug 25 · 17:30M. Szostak1.785111310113J. Komorowicz1.86117111272LAug 25 · 16:30K. Patryk1.461111113M. Szostak2.409690
P. Kamil10
LSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113WSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 18:30P. Kamil2.25671171P. Odelski1.5811118113LSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471WSep 1 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.8511119582P. Kamil1.85791111113LSep 1 · 20:30P. Kamil1.7358100W. Arkadiusz1.981111123WSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113LSep 1 · 17:30P. Kamil2.107580K. Patryk1.651111113
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