TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13047123
Played Aug 30Finished
Kiejda Patryk
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1412711811119911
Michal Szostak
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
1412711811119911
H2H Kiejda Patryk 4–2 Michal Szostak Michal Szostak has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Patryk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Patryk 1506 vs Szostak 1394
Patryk
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patryk 60% vs Szostak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patryk 50% vs Szostak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Patryk +2 · Szostak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatryk 1.60 / Szostak 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Patryk)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13047123
Patryk1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 83 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it80% 63 of 79
Szostak2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 29 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back31% 11 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePatryk4wins
AwaySzostak2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderPatryk leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatryk100%3 of 3
AwaySzostak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patryk3Szostak3n = 6split evenly
S2Patryk4Szostak2n = 6Patryk took 4 of 6
S3Patryk4Szostak2n = 6Patryk took 4 of 6
S4Patryk2Szostak2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricPatrykSzostakP − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match37.032.8+4.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrykSzostakBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 287 vs 127 / 25457.1%50%164 / 287 vs 127 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykPatryk 1.60/Szostak 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szostak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 25 · 16:30K. Patryk—1111113M. Szostak—9690
WAug 22 · 12:05K. Patryk—11118113M. Szostak—931141
WAug 18 · 18:30K. Patryk—681111113M. Szostak—11116672
LJun 23 · 16:30K. Patryk—811951M. Szostak—11711113
LJun 15 · 16:30K. Patryk—7711101M. Szostak—11118123
WJun 9 · 17:30K. Patryk—1111113M. Szostak—9860
K. Patryk10
WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113WSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113LSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112
M. Szostak10
LAug 30 · 14:05W. Arkadiusz1.661110138113M. Szostak2.10712111192LAug 30 · 11:05M. Szostak1.9598130W. Arkadiusz1.751111153LAug 30 · 10:05M. Szostak2.10115691L. Buklat1.6031111113WAug 30 · 08:35M. Szostak2.0011121111113P. Kamil1.7213146982WAug 30 · 06:35M. Szostak2.1081112113K. Kos1.651171061WAug 25 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.75111081192M. Szostak1.95912116113LAug 25 · 20:30M. Szostak1.9761511101W. Arkadiusz1.6911179123LAug 25 · 18:30P. Odelski1.807111011113M. Szostak1.8611512942WAug 25 · 17:30M. Szostak1.785111310113J. Komorowicz1.86117111272LAug 25 · 16:30K. Patryk1.461111113M. Szostak2.409690
Upcoming Matches
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