TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13044901
Played Aug 30Finished
Michal Szostak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111171210116––
Kamil Kos
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Kos to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
8111171210116––
H2H Michal Szostak 11–6 Kamil Kos Kamil Kos has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Kos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-6 in 17
Szostak
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostak 1397 vs Kos 1427
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostak 40% vs Kos 80%
Kos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostak 60% vs Kos 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostak +1 · Kos +4
Kos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostak 2.10 / Kos 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kos)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13044901
Szostak2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 32 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back34% 14 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Kos1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 47 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it66% 42 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostak5wins
AwayKos5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKos44.4%4 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostak1Kos9n = 10Kos took 9 of 10
S2Szostak6Kos4n = 10Szostak took 6 of 10
S3Szostak6Kos4n = 10Szostak took 6 of 10
S4Szostak6Kos4n = 10Szostak took 6 of 10
S5Szostak3Kos2n = 5Szostak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostakKosS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match43.543.2+0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostakKosBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 256 vs 142 / 28950%49.1%128 / 256 vs 142 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.840.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosSzostak 2.10/Kos 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Szostak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 06:35M. Szostak—81112113K. Kos—1171061
WAug 25 · 16:00M. Szostak—311711123K. Kos—119119102
WAug 22 · 14:15M. Szostak—10111016123K. Kos—1211214102
LAug 22 · 08:35M. Szostak—96111192K. Kos—111173113
LAug 18 · 17:30M. Szostak—771191K. Kos—11119113
WJun 23 · 18:30M. Szostak—911119113K. Kos—11861172
LJun 15 · 20:30M. Szostak—98111172K. Kos—111149113
WJun 6 · 08:05M. Szostak—71211133K. Kos—11107111
LMay 30 · 12:35M. Szostak—6118101K. Kos—11811123
LApr 2 · 17:30M. Szostak—137691K. Kos—111111113
M. Szostak10
LAug 30 · 14:05W. Arkadiusz1.661110138113M. Szostak2.10712111192WAug 30 · 12:05K. Patryk1.6014781192M. Szostak2.201211119113LAug 30 · 11:05M. Szostak1.9598130W. Arkadiusz1.751111153LAug 30 · 10:05M. Szostak2.10115691L. Buklat1.6031111113WAug 30 · 08:35M. Szostak2.0011121111113P. Kamil1.7213146982WAug 25 · 22:00W. Arkadiusz1.75111081192M. Szostak1.95912116113LAug 25 · 20:30M. Szostak1.9761511101W. Arkadiusz1.6911179123LAug 25 · 18:30P. Odelski1.807111011113M. Szostak1.8611512942WAug 25 · 17:30M. Szostak1.785111310113J. Komorowicz1.86117111272LAug 25 · 16:30K. Patryk1.461111113M. Szostak2.409690
K. Kos10
WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182WSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 18:00K. Kos1.6471111882W. Arkadiusz2.04118511113LSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113WSep 1 · 14:30K. Kos2.1712119123K. Patryk1.5710811101WAug 30 · 13:35P. Kamil—3570K. Kos—1111113LAug 30 · 13:05W. Arkadiusz1.7981411113K. Kos1.841112661
Upcoming Matches
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K. Kos
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