TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036538
Played Aug 29Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711511511––
Tomas Prosa
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Prosa to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Tomas Prosa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Tomas Prosa at 62.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 0–2 Tomas Prosa Radim Urbaniec has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Prosa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1677 vs Prosa 1840
Prosa
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 60% vs Prosa 80%
Prosa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 50% vs Prosa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -1 · Prosa +3
Prosa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Prosa) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prosa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.50 / Prosa 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Prosa)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036538
Urbaniec2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 193 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 265
Down 0–2, comes back4% 6 of 145
Prosa1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 33 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeUrbaniec0wins
AwayProsa2wins
Prosa leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricUrbaniecProsaU − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match30.540.5−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecProsaBasisWin rate · lifetime600 / 1176 vs 110 / 21351%51.6%600 / 1176 vs 110 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProsaUrbaniec 2.50/Prosa 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Prosa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Prosa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 29 · 07:00R. Urbaniec—117551T. Prosa—81111113
LJul 18 · 06:00R. Urbaniec—1110751T. Prosa—61211113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:30V. Burdik1.91711251R. Urbaniec1.8011811113WSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781WSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LSep 3 · 16:59R. Urbaniec2.635450L. Velebil1.441111113WSep 3 · 16:30L. Velebil1.33111158102R. Urbaniec3.25891111123LSep 3 · 15:30R. Urbaniec3.253660M. Grundel1.331111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Skotnica1.40811911113R. Urbaniec2.7511411862WSep 2 · 21:00R. Urbaniec1.611111113R. Hudeczek2.205660WSep 2 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.44711118113M. Chalupa2.6311971192
T. Prosa10
WAug 29 · 09:29T. Prosa1.731111143O. Kolisnyk2.0099120WAug 29 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.805660T. Prosa1.911111113WAug 29 · 06:30T. Prosa1.5013119113J. Ruzicka2.501161171WAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 18 · 15:00M. Jezek2.63134613102T. Prosa1.4411111111123LAug 18 · 14:30T. Prosa1.67126761A. Barton2.10101111113WAug 5 · 16:59T. Prosa1.57148614113V. Kolar2.251211111282WAug 5 · 16:00T. Prosa1.801111113V. Kolar1.918880LAug 5 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.501181110113T. Prosa1.5041181282LAug 5 · 14:00T. Prosa1.8011410101O. Kolisnyk1.9181112123
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