TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12361631
Played Aug 5Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1148111181012118
Tomas Prosa
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:46 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Prosa to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Tomas Prosa below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Prosa at 67.5%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 4–8 Tomas Prosa Jiri Ruzicka has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:46What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Prosa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Prosa
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1652 vs Prosa 1718
Prosa
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 0% vs Prosa 40%
Prosa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 30% vs Prosa 60%
Prosa
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -5 · Prosa -1
Ruzicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Prosa) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prosa form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.50 / Prosa 1.50
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Prosa)+10.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12361631
Ruzicka2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 165 of 406
Down 0–1, comes back24% 60 of 255
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 128
Prosa1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 31 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka3wins
AwayProsa7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderProsa leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka60%3 of 5
AwayProsa100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka5Prosa5n = 10split evenly
S2Ruzicka2Prosa8n = 10Prosa took 8 of 10
S3Ruzicka3Prosa7n = 10Prosa took 7 of 10
S4Ruzicka4Prosa3n = 7Ruzicka took 4 of 7
S5Ruzicka2Prosa3n = 5Prosa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaProsaR − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.343.7−3.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaProsaBasisWin rate · lifetime678 / 1403 vs 110 / 22648.3%48.7%678 / 1403 vs 110 / 226Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProsaRuzicka 2.50/Prosa 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.5%
Prosa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 15:30J. Ruzicka—1181110113T. Prosa—41181282
LAug 2 · 01:30J. Ruzicka—11681162T. Prosa—811118113
LJan 11 · 04:30J. Ruzicka—11980T. Prosa—1311113
LJan 11 · 02:30J. Ruzicka—6111241T. Prosa—111310113
WJan 8 · 18:30J. Ruzicka—1111612113T. Prosa—96111482
LJan 8 · 17:30J. Ruzicka—1211911112T. Prosa—146116133
WDec 5 · 16:30J. Ruzicka—18413113T. Prosa—16111191
LAug 26 · 16:00J. Ruzicka—41180T. Prosa—1113113
LJun 11 · 19:30J. Ruzicka—11880T. Prosa—1311113
LMay 5 · 14:30J. Ruzicka—11591492T. Prosa—5111112113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152
T. Prosa10
WAug 29 · 09:29T. Prosa1.731111143O. Kolisnyk2.0099120WAug 29 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.805660T. Prosa1.911111113WAug 29 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.50117551T. Prosa1.5081111113WAug 29 · 06:30T. Prosa1.5013119113J. Ruzicka2.501161171WAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 18 · 15:00M. Jezek2.63134613102T. Prosa1.4411111111123LAug 18 · 14:30T. Prosa1.67126761A. Barton2.10101111113WAug 5 · 16:59T. Prosa1.57148614113V. Kolar2.251211111282WAug 5 · 16:00T. Prosa1.801111113V. Kolar1.918880LAug 5 · 14:00T. Prosa1.8011410101O. Kolisnyk1.9181112123
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