TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12361679
Played Aug 5Finished
Tomas Prosa
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118118––––
Vlastimil Kolar
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Prosa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Prosa above · Vlastimil Kolar below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Prosa at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:55What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Prosa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Prosa 1718 vs Kolar 1841
Kolar
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prosa 40% vs Kolar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prosa 50% vs Kolar 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prosa -2 · Kolar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prosa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProsa 1.80 / Kolar 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prosa)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12361679
Prosa1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 31 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Kolar1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 39 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricProsaKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 226 vs 83 / 15148.7%55%110 / 226 vs 83 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProsaProsa 1.80/Kolar 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prosa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Prosa won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Prosa10
WAug 29 · 09:29T. Prosa1.731111143O. Kolisnyk2.0099120WAug 29 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.805660T. Prosa1.911111113WAug 29 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.50117551T. Prosa1.5081111113WAug 29 · 06:30T. Prosa1.5013119113J. Ruzicka2.501161171WAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 18 · 15:00M. Jezek2.63134613102T. Prosa1.4411111111123LAug 18 · 14:30T. Prosa1.67126761A. Barton2.10101111113WAug 5 · 16:59T. Prosa1.57148614113V. Kolar2.251211111282LAug 5 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.501181110113T. Prosa1.5041181282LAug 5 · 14:00T. Prosa1.8011410101O. Kolisnyk1.9181112123
V. Kolar10
WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 20:30J. Louda1.8011711113V. Kolar1.91611761LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Sychra2.003111014113V. Kolar1.73118121272LSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192LSep 1 · 21:00M. Sychra2.201011511113V. Kolar1.6112911492LAug 5 · 16:59T. Prosa1.57148614113V. Kolar2.251211111282
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