TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12449696
Played Aug 18Finished
Tomas Prosa
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210611711611––
Ales Barton
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:50 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Prosa to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Prosa above · Ales Barton below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Prosa at 62.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Prosa 4–1 Ales Barton Ales Barton has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prosa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Prosa
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prosa 1796 vs Barton 1788
Prosa
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prosa 60% vs Barton 80%
Barton
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prosa 50% vs Barton 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prosa +2 · Barton +4
Barton
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Prosa) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProsa 1.67 / Barton 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Prosa)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12449696
Prosa1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 28 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Barton2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 22 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeProsa4wins
AwayBarton1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderProsa leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProsa75%3 of 4
AwayBartonn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prosa4Barton1n = 5Prosa took 4 of 5
S2Prosa3Barton2n = 5Prosa took 3 of 5
S3Prosa4Barton1n = 5Prosa took 4 of 5
S4Prosa1Barton3n = 4Barton took 3 of 4
S5Prosa2Barton1n = 3Prosa took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricProsaBartonP − BBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.437.4+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProsaBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 214 vs 229 / 43449.1%52.8%105 / 214 vs 229 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProsaProsa 1.67/Barton 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Prosa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WApr 7 · 15:00T. Prosa—1111113A. Barton—6790
WMar 15 · 08:00T. Prosa—11811113A. Barton—711791
WNov 8 · 08:30T. Prosa—1111118113A. Barton—68131152
LOct 21 · 15:00T. Prosa—11511852A. Barton—811611113
WAug 30 · 08:30T. Prosa—711111113A. Barton—11581162
T. Prosa10
WAug 29 · 09:29T. Prosa1.731111143O. Kolisnyk2.0099120WAug 29 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.805660T. Prosa1.911111113WAug 29 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.50117551T. Prosa1.5081111113WAug 29 · 06:30T. Prosa1.5013119113J. Ruzicka2.501161171WAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 18 · 15:00M. Jezek2.63134613102T. Prosa1.4411111111123WAug 5 · 16:59T. Prosa1.57148614113V. Kolar2.251211111282WAug 5 · 16:00T. Prosa1.801111113V. Kolar1.918880LAug 5 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.501181110113T. Prosa1.5041181282LAug 5 · 14:00T. Prosa1.8011410101O. Kolisnyk1.9181112123
A. Barton10
LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292WAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton1.67111199163M. Huk2.10961111142LAug 30 · 06:30O. Kolisnyk1.57119511113A. Barton2.2561111562WAug 29 · 13:30A. Barton1.5761111113J. Ruzicka2.25118571WAug 29 · 12:00A. Barton2.1011121011123J. Kanera1.671310128102WAug 29 · 11:30R. Urbaniec2.635880A. Barton1.441111113WAug 29 · 10:00A. Barton1.531113115113J. Ruzicka2.3881571152WAug 22 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.85711391A. Barton1.8011511113LAug 22 · 16:00A. Barton2.636560F. Wolf1.441111113
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