TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036578
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611611––––
Tomas Prosa
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Prosa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Tomas Prosa below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Prosa at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 6–6 Tomas Prosa Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:53What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolisnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1732 vs Prosa 1840
Prosa
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 60% vs Prosa 80%
Prosa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 60% vs Prosa 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk +3 · Prosa +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prosa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prosa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.80 / Prosa 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Prosa)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036578
Kolisnyk1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 87 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it81% 69 of 85
Prosa1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 12 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk4wins
AwayProsa6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderProsa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk40%2 of 5
AwayProsa60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk5Prosa5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolisnyk4Prosa6n = 10Prosa took 6 of 10
S3Kolisnyk5Prosa5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolisnyk5Prosa4n = 9Kolisnyk took 5 of 9
S5Kolisnyk1Prosa3n = 4Prosa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykProsaK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.9−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykProsaBasisWin rate · lifetime571 / 1132 vs 110 / 21350.4%51.6%571 / 1132 vs 110 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProsaKolisnyk 1.80/Prosa 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prosa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Prosa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk—5660T. Prosa—1111113
WAug 5 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk—81112123T. Prosa—11410101
LJan 7 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk—111110272T. Prosa—491211113
LDec 30 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk—11771362T. Prosa—7111111113
LDec 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk—1011671T. Prosa—12611113
WDec 5 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk—111111123T. Prosa—6138101
WNov 4 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk—91112113T. Prosa—1161031
LOct 5 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk—115691T. Prosa—91111113
LSep 13 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk—710111192T. Prosa—111299113
WAug 21 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk—118127153T. Prosa—7111011132
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:00M. Huk1.9161111982O. Kolisnyk1.80118711113
T. Prosa10
WAug 29 · 09:29T. Prosa1.731111143O. Kolisnyk2.0099120WAug 29 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.50117551T. Prosa1.5081111113WAug 29 · 06:30T. Prosa1.5013119113J. Ruzicka2.501161171WAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 18 · 15:00M. Jezek2.63134613102T. Prosa1.4411111111123LAug 18 · 14:30T. Prosa1.67126761A. Barton2.10101111113WAug 5 · 16:59T. Prosa1.57148614113V. Kolar2.251211111282WAug 5 · 16:00T. Prosa1.801111113V. Kolar1.918880LAug 5 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.501181110113T. Prosa1.5041181282LAug 5 · 14:00T. Prosa1.8011410101O. Kolisnyk1.9181112123
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