TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12361609
Played Aug 5Finished
Tomas Prosa
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11841110121012––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Prosa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Prosa above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 78 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Prosa at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Prosa 5–5 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Prosa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prosa 1757 vs Kolisnyk 1771
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prosa 40% vs Kolisnyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prosa 70% vs Kolisnyk 40%
Prosa
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prosa +1 · Kolisnyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prosa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProsa 1.80 / Kolisnyk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prosa)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12361609
Prosa1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite71% won 31 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Kolisnyk1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 72 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back24% 20 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProsa5wins
AwayKolisnyk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProsa66.7%2 of 3
AwayKolisnyk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prosa3Kolisnyk7n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S2Prosa6Kolisnyk4n = 10Prosa took 6 of 10
S3Prosa5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Prosa5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S5Prosa3Kolisnyk2n = 5Prosa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricProsaKolisnykP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.043.4−1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProsaKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 226 vs 576 / 113849.6%50.6%112 / 226 vs 576 / 1138Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProsaProsa 1.80/Kolisnyk 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Prosa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJan 7 · 16:30T. Prosa—491211113O. Kolisnyk—111110272
WDec 30 · 10:00T. Prosa—7111111113O. Kolisnyk—11771362
WDec 30 · 09:30T. Prosa—12611113O. Kolisnyk—1011671
LDec 5 · 15:00T. Prosa—6138101O. Kolisnyk—111111123
LNov 4 · 15:30T. Prosa—1161031O. Kolisnyk—91112113
WOct 5 · 07:30T. Prosa—91111113O. Kolisnyk—115691
WSep 13 · 15:30T. Prosa—111299113O. Kolisnyk—710111192
LAug 21 · 14:00T. Prosa—7111011132O. Kolisnyk—118127153
LAug 12 · 16:30T. Prosa—910141262O. Kolisnyk—11121210113
LAug 11 · 15:30T. Prosa—311311O. Kolisnyk—11611113
T. Prosa10
WAug 29 · 09:29T. Prosa1.731111143O. Kolisnyk2.0099120WAug 29 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.805660T. Prosa1.911111113WAug 29 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.50117551T. Prosa1.5081111113WAug 29 · 06:30T. Prosa1.5013119113J. Ruzicka2.501161171WAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 18 · 15:00M. Jezek2.63134613102T. Prosa1.4411111111123LAug 18 · 14:30T. Prosa1.67126761A. Barton2.10101111113WAug 5 · 16:59T. Prosa1.57148614113V. Kolar2.251211111282WAug 5 · 16:00T. Prosa1.801111113V. Kolar1.918880LAug 5 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.501181110113T. Prosa1.5041181282
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182LAug 29 · 09:29T. Prosa1.731111143O. Kolisnyk2.0099120LAug 29 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.805660T. Prosa1.911111113
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