TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035085
Played Aug 29Finished
Tomas Prosa
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311116911117––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:21 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Prosa to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Prosa above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 79 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Prosa at 63.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Prosa 9–4 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Prosa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Prosa
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prosa 1840 vs Ruzicka 1761
Prosa
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prosa 80% vs Ruzicka 40%
Prosa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prosa 60% vs Ruzicka 40%
Prosa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prosa +2 · Ruzicka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Prosa) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prosa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProsa 1.50 / Ruzicka 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Prosa)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035085
Prosa1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 33 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Ruzicka2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 149 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProsa7wins
AwayRuzicka3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderProsa leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProsa100%6 of 6
AwayRuzicka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prosa6Ruzicka4n = 10Prosa took 6 of 10
S2Prosa8Ruzicka2n = 10Prosa took 8 of 10
S3Prosa6Ruzicka4n = 10Prosa took 6 of 10
S4Prosa4Ruzicka3n = 7Prosa took 4 of 7
S5Prosa2Ruzicka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricProsaRuzickaP − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.139.0+4.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProsaRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 213 vs 680 / 140351.6%48.5%110 / 213 vs 680 / 1403Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProsaProsa 1.50/Ruzicka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Prosa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prosa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 06:30T. Prosa—13119113J. Ruzicka—1161171
LAug 5 · 15:30T. Prosa—41181282J. Ruzicka—1181110113
WAug 2 · 01:30T. Prosa—811118113J. Ruzicka—11681162
WJan 11 · 04:30T. Prosa—1311113J. Ruzicka—11980
WJan 11 · 02:30T. Prosa—111310113J. Ruzicka—6111241
LJan 8 · 18:30T. Prosa—96111482J. Ruzicka—1111612113
WJan 8 · 17:30T. Prosa—146116133J. Ruzicka—1211911112
LDec 5 · 16:30T. Prosa—16111191J. Ruzicka—18413113
WAug 26 · 16:00T. Prosa—1113113J. Ruzicka—41180
WJun 11 · 19:30T. Prosa—1311113J. Ruzicka—11880
T. Prosa10
WAug 29 · 09:29T. Prosa1.731111143O. Kolisnyk2.0099120WAug 29 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.805660T. Prosa1.911111113WAug 29 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.50117551T. Prosa1.5081111113WAug 18 · 15:59D. Barton2.2541330T. Prosa1.57111573WAug 18 · 15:00M. Jezek2.63134613102T. Prosa1.4411111111123LAug 18 · 14:30T. Prosa1.67126761A. Barton2.10101111113WAug 5 · 16:59T. Prosa1.57148614113V. Kolar2.251211111282WAug 5 · 16:00T. Prosa1.801111113V. Kolar1.918880LAug 5 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.501181110113T. Prosa1.5041181282LAug 5 · 14:00T. Prosa1.8011410101O. Kolisnyk1.9181112123
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130WAug 5 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.501181110113T. Prosa1.5041181282
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