TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12474144
Played Aug 22Finished
Vadim Smetenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116711611117116
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:14 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeVadim Smetenko to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Smetenko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 87 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Vadim Smetenko at 57.3%
87 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Smetenko 0–1 Ivan Pytsko Vadim Smetenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:14What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Smetenko 1575 vs Pytsko 1520
Smetenko
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smetenko 40% vs Pytsko 80%
Pytsko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smetenko 60% vs Pytsko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Smetenko +1 · Pytsko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Smetenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmetenko 2.00 / Pytsko 1.73
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Smetenko)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12474144
Smetenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Pytsko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite46% won 40 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it65% 31 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSmetenko0wins
AwayPytsko1wins
Pytsko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSmetenkoPytskoS − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmetenkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 18 vs 313 / 56561.1%55.4%11 / 18 vs 313 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmetenkoSmetenko 2.00/Pytsko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Smetenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Smetenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 22 · 02:15V. Smetenko—7590I. Pytsko—1111113
V. Smetenko10
WAug 22 · 18:25V. Smetenko1.531211113V. Hrybeniuk2.3810630WAug 22 · 16:25M. Potapov1.911169101V. Smetenko1.8061111123WAug 22 · 15:25V. Smetenko1.731112118113M. Slozka2.0081471152LAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182WAug 22 · 03:15V. Hrybeniuk1.9131181182V. Smetenko1.80117117113LAug 22 · 02:15V. Smetenko1.807590I. Pytsko1.911111113LAug 21 · 23:45M. Slozka1.91611614113V. Smetenko1.80118111292WAug 21 · 21:45O. Lutsyshyn1.808890V. Smetenko1.911111113LAug 21 · 20:45M. Potapov2.0015911113V. Smetenko1.731311791LAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WAug 22 · 02:15V. Smetenko1.807590I. Pytsko1.911111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.