TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467040
Played Aug 21Finished
Oleh Lutsyshyn
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Vadim Smetenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Lutsyshyn to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Lutsyshyn above · Vadim Smetenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Lutsyshyn at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:04What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lutsyshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lutsyshyn 1577 vs Smetenko 1624
Smetenko
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lutsyshyn 60% vs Smetenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lutsyshyn 70% vs Smetenko 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lutsyshyn -1 · Smetenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Smetenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLutsyshyn 1.80 / Smetenko 1.91
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Smetenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467040
Lutsyshyn1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 53 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Smetenko1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLutsyshynSmetenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 166 vs 9 / 1453.6%64.3%89 / 166 vs 9 / 14Avg sets wonper match2.02.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.840.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmetenkoLutsyshyn 1.80/Smetenko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Smetenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Smetenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Lutsyshyn10
WAug 23 · 10:25M. Slozka2.50341141O. Lutsyshyn1.5011114113LAug 23 · 09:25O. Lutsyshyn2.385760R. Andrishak1.531111113WAug 23 · 08:25O. Lutsyshyn1.361111811113V. Hrybeniuk3.0078111322WAug 23 · 06:55O. Lutsyshyn1.571211615113V. Korobko2.25142111332WAug 23 · 04:55O. Lutsyshyn1.61119116123I. Pytsko2.20811311102WAug 22 · 17:55M. Potapov2.0011491382O. Lutsyshyn1.738111111113WAug 22 · 16:55O. Lutsyshyn1.7311116113I. Pytsko2.00791181WAug 22 · 15:55O. Lutsyshyn1.361011811113V. Hrybeniuk3.0012811262WAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182WAug 22 · 12:25O. Lutsyshyn1.671111113M. Slozka2.101940
V. Smetenko10
WAug 22 · 18:25V. Smetenko1.531211113V. Hrybeniuk2.3810630WAug 22 · 16:25M. Potapov1.911169101V. Smetenko1.8061111123WAug 22 · 15:25V. Smetenko1.731112118113M. Slozka2.0081471152LAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182WAug 22 · 12:55V. Smetenko2.00117611113I. Pytsko1.7361111762WAug 22 · 03:15V. Hrybeniuk1.9131181182V. Smetenko1.80117117113LAug 22 · 02:15V. Smetenko1.807590I. Pytsko1.911111113LAug 21 · 23:45M. Slozka1.91611614113V. Smetenko1.80118111292LAug 21 · 20:45M. Potapov2.0015911113V. Smetenko1.731311791LAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
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