TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467052
Played Aug 21Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111186111412119
Vadim Smetenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Smetenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Vadim Smetenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vadim Smetenko at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 1–0 Vadim Smetenko Vadim Smetenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:00What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Smetenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1550 vs Smetenko 1621
Smetenko
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 60% vs Smetenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 60% vs Smetenko 80%
Smetenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka -1 · Smetenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Smetenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.91 / Smetenko 1.80
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Smetenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467052
Slozka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 93 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Smetenko1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite73% won 8 of 11
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSlozka1wins
AwaySmetenko0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSlozka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSlozkaSmetenkoSlozka − SmetenkoBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.051.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaSmetenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 741 vs 10 / 1643.7%62.5%324 / 741 vs 10 / 16Avg sets wonper match1.92.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.841.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmetenkoSlozka 1.91/Smetenko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Smetenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 21 · 23:45M. Slozka—611614113V. Smetenko—118111292
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113
V. Smetenko10
WAug 22 · 18:25V. Smetenko1.531211113V. Hrybeniuk2.3810630WAug 22 · 16:25M. Potapov1.911169101V. Smetenko1.8061111123WAug 22 · 15:25V. Smetenko1.731112118113M. Slozka2.0081471152LAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182WAug 22 · 12:55V. Smetenko2.00117611113I. Pytsko1.7361111762WAug 22 · 03:15V. Hrybeniuk1.9131181182V. Smetenko1.80117117113LAug 22 · 02:15V. Smetenko1.807590I. Pytsko1.911111113WAug 21 · 21:45O. Lutsyshyn1.808890V. Smetenko1.911111113LAug 21 · 20:45M. Potapov2.0015911113V. Smetenko1.731311791LAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.