TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467097
Played Aug 22Finished
Vadim Smetenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511911––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Smetenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVadim Smetenko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Vadim Smetenko at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Smetenko 0–1 Ivan Pytsko Vadim Smetenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Smetenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Smetenko 1561 vs Pytsko 1533
Smetenko
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smetenko 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smetenko 70% vs Pytsko 50%
Smetenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Smetenko -1 · Pytsko +3
Pytsko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Smetenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smetenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmetenko 1.80 / Pytsko 1.91
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Smetenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467097
Smetenko1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite73% won 8 of 11
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Pytsko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 14 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back33% 7 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSmetenko0wins
AwayPytsko1wins
Pytsko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSmetenkoPytskoS − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmetenkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 17 vs 313 / 56458.8%55.5%10 / 17 vs 313 / 564Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmetenkoSmetenko 1.80/Pytsko 1.91
Miss
What we said
58.5%
Smetenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 22 · 02:15V. Smetenko—7590I. Pytsko—1111113
V. Smetenko10
WAug 22 · 18:25V. Smetenko1.531211113V. Hrybeniuk2.3810630WAug 22 · 16:25M. Potapov1.911169101V. Smetenko1.8061111123WAug 22 · 15:25V. Smetenko1.731112118113M. Slozka2.0081471152LAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182WAug 22 · 12:55V. Smetenko2.00117611113I. Pytsko1.7361111762WAug 22 · 03:15V. Hrybeniuk1.9131181182V. Smetenko1.80117117113LAug 21 · 23:45M. Slozka1.91611614113V. Smetenko1.80118111292WAug 21 · 21:45O. Lutsyshyn1.808890V. Smetenko1.911111113LAug 21 · 20:45M. Potapov2.0015911113V. Smetenko1.731311791LAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LAug 22 · 12:55V. Smetenko2.00117611113I. Pytsko1.7361111762
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