TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12467138
Played Aug 22Finished
Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311117811117811
Vadim Smetenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Smetenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Hrybeniuk above · Vadim Smetenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Vadim Smetenko at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Smetenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hrybeniuk 1452 vs Smetenko 1561
Smetenko
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrybeniuk 40% vs Smetenko 20%
Hrybeniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrybeniuk 30% vs Smetenko 60%
Smetenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrybeniuk +1 · Smetenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Smetenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smetenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrybeniuk 1.91 / Smetenko 1.80
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Smetenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12467138
Hrybeniuk1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 52 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back29% 19 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Smetenko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 8 of 11
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrybeniukSmetenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 315 vs 10 / 1751.4%58.8%162 / 315 vs 10 / 17Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmetenkoHrybeniuk 1.91/Smetenko 1.80
Hit
What we said
58.5%
Smetenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Smetenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Hrybeniuk10
WAug 29 · 11:25I. Pytsko1.7341191182V. Hrybeniuk2.00115118113WAug 29 · 09:55V. Hrybeniuk2.381111113M. Slozka1.535980LAug 29 · 07:55I. Kvak1.44111195113V. Hrybeniuk2.6378111192LAug 29 · 05:55V. Kuzmych2.1011711113V. Hrybeniuk1.67711531WAug 29 · 04:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.637750V. Hrybeniuk1.441111113WAug 28 · 16:56V. Hrybeniuk1.575111111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.2511913442WAug 28 · 15:55V. Dobrovolskyi2.63610100V. Hrybeniuk1.441112123LAug 28 · 14:25M. Slozka1.6111711113V. Hrybeniuk2.20511981WAug 28 · 12:55V. Kuzmych1.674830V. Hrybeniuk2.101111113LAug 28 · 11:55I. Pytsko1.9113811113V. Hrybeniuk1.801111381
V. Smetenko10
WAug 22 · 18:25V. Smetenko1.531211113V. Hrybeniuk2.3810630WAug 22 · 16:25M. Potapov1.911169101V. Smetenko1.8061111123WAug 22 · 15:25V. Smetenko1.731112118113M. Slozka2.0081471152LAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182WAug 22 · 12:55V. Smetenko2.00117611113I. Pytsko1.7361111762LAug 22 · 02:15V. Smetenko1.807590I. Pytsko1.911111113LAug 21 · 23:45M. Slozka1.91611614113V. Smetenko1.80118111292WAug 21 · 21:45O. Lutsyshyn1.808890V. Smetenko1.911111113LAug 21 · 20:45M. Potapov2.0015911113V. Smetenko1.731311791LAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
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