TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12474039
Played Aug 22Finished
Vadim Smetenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181214117811115
Mykola Slozka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVadim Smetenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Smetenko above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 98 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Vadim Smetenko at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Smetenko 0–1 Mykola Slozka Vadim Smetenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:24What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Smetenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Smetenko 1572 vs Slozka 1539
Smetenko
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smetenko 40% vs Slozka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smetenko 50% vs Slozka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Smetenko -1 · Slozka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Smetenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smetenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmetenko 1.73 / Slozka 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Smetenko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12474039
Smetenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 9 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Slozka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 94 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSmetenko0wins
AwaySlozka1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSlozka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSmetenkoSlozkaSmetenko − SlozkaBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.048.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmetenkoSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 20 vs 325 / 74560%43.6%12 / 20 vs 325 / 745Avg sets wonper match2.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmetenkoSmetenko 1.73/Slozka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Smetenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Smetenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 21 · 23:45V. Smetenko—118111292M. Slozka—611614113
V. Smetenko10
WAug 22 · 18:25V. Smetenko1.531211113V. Hrybeniuk2.3810630WAug 22 · 16:25M. Potapov1.911169101V. Smetenko1.8061111123LAug 22 · 14:25O. Lutsyshyn2.25116113113V. Smetenko1.5781151182WAug 22 · 12:55V. Smetenko2.00117611113I. Pytsko1.7361111762WAug 22 · 03:15V. Hrybeniuk1.9131181182V. Smetenko1.80117117113LAug 22 · 02:15V. Smetenko1.807590I. Pytsko1.911111113LAug 21 · 23:45M. Slozka1.91611614113V. Smetenko1.80118111292WAug 21 · 21:45O. Lutsyshyn1.808890V. Smetenko1.911111113LAug 21 · 20:45M. Potapov2.0015911113V. Smetenko1.731311791LAug 19 · 10:38V. Smetenko1.5371151182V. Bilobrov2.38117115113
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WAug 21 · 23:45M. Slozka1.91611614113V. Smetenko1.80118111292
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