TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12450953
Played Aug 17Finished
Erik Mares
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171311118––––
Jiri Nesnera
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingErik Mares above · Jiri Nesnera below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 61 set 3, 11-8
61 points played in total.
H2H Erik Mares 6–3 Jiri Nesnera Jiri Nesnera has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Mares)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 1.40 / Nesnera 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Mares)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12450953
Mares1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 121 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it87% 75 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it73% 97 of 133
Nesnera2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 13 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMares6wins
AwayNesnera3wins
Mares leads 6–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares71.4%5 of 7
AwayNesneran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares7Nesnera2n = 9Mares took 7 of 9
S2Mares6Nesnera3n = 9Mares took 6 of 9
S3Mares4Nesnera5n = 9Nesnera took 5 of 9
S4Mares4Nesnera3n = 7Mares took 4 of 7
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricMaresNesneraM − NBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.031.3+6.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresNesneraBasisWin rate · lifetime575 / 1140 vs 86 / 16150.4%53.4%575 / 1140 vs 86 / 161Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresMares 1.40/Nesnera 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mares won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 11 · 17:30E. Mares—1111113J. Nesnera—3870
WAug 11 · 14:00E. Mares—11811113J. Nesnera—711551
LAug 6 · 16:30E. Mares—1279111J. Nesnera—101111133
WJun 30 · 15:00E. Mares—111111113J. Nesnera—781391
LJan 1 · 10:30E. Mares—1111791J. Nesnera—13911113
WJan 1 · 07:30E. Mares—81211113J. Nesnera—1110641
WAug 16 · 08:00E. Mares—1111113J. Nesnera—2760
LJul 26 · 09:30E. Mares—115891J. Nesnera—41111113
WJul 26 · 08:00E. Mares—11116113J. Nesnera—481141
E. Mares10
LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123LSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113LSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113WSep 4 · 20:00E. Mares1.8011813113J. Vales1.912111171
J. Nesnera10
LAug 31 · 17:00J. Kycelt1.8071212133J. Nesnera1.91111010111LAug 31 · 16:30E. Mares1.401111113J. Nesnera2.754970LAug 31 · 15:30J. Nesnera2.3813670V. Koubek1.531511113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.73761141J. Nesnera2.0011117113WAug 17 · 16:00E. Mares1.301189101J. Nesnera3.4011111123LAug 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk3.001311123J. Nesnera1.36116100LAug 17 · 14:30J. Nesnera1.73118714122T. Postelt2.009111112143LAug 11 · 17:30E. Mares1.451111113J. Nesnera2.603870WAug 11 · 16:00J. Nesnera1.731121011113T. Postelt2.0061112862WAug 11 · 15:30M. Kratochvil1.83111011632J. Nesnera1.83912411113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.