TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12397484
Played Aug 11Finished
Michal Kratochvil
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191012114611311
Jiri Nesnera
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Nesnera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Kratochvil above · Jiri Nesnera below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 88 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Jiri Nesnera at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kratochvil 0–1 Jiri Nesnera Michal Kratochvil has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:04What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Nesnera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1717 vs Nesnera 1826
Nesnera
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 40% vs Nesnera 60%
Nesnera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 40% vs Nesnera 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil +2 · Nesnera -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nesnera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 1.83 / Nesnera 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nesnera)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12397484
Kratochvil1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Nesnera1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKratochvil0wins
AwayNesnera1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNesnera leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKratochvilNesneraK − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.047.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilNesneraBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 511 vs 85 / 15749.1%54.1%251 / 511 vs 85 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NesneraKratochvil 1.83/Nesnera 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nesnera · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nesnera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 11 · 15:30M. Kratochvil—111011632J. Nesnera—912411113
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113WSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 08:58M. Kratochvil3.00101111782E. Mares1.36125911113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kratochvil3.00611718113E. Mares1.36119111662
J. Nesnera10
LAug 31 · 17:00J. Kycelt1.8071212133J. Nesnera1.91111010111LAug 31 · 16:30E. Mares1.401111113J. Nesnera2.754970LAug 31 · 15:30J. Nesnera2.3813670V. Koubek1.531511113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.73761141J. Nesnera2.0011117113LAug 17 · 16:59E. Mares1.401113113J. Nesnera2.7571180WAug 17 · 16:00E. Mares1.301189101J. Nesnera3.4011111123LAug 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk3.001311123J. Nesnera1.36116100LAug 17 · 14:30J. Nesnera1.73118714122T. Postelt2.009111112143LAug 11 · 17:30E. Mares1.451111113J. Nesnera2.603870WAug 11 · 16:00J. Nesnera1.731121011113T. Postelt2.0061112862
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