TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444296
Played Aug 17Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111161210––––
Jiri Nesnera
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:46 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Nesnera to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Jiri Nesnera below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 63 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Jiri Nesnera at 68.8%
63 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 0–3 Jiri Nesnera Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Nesnera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Nesnera
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1768 vs Nesnera 1812
Nesnera
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 60% vs Nesnera 40%
Kolisnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 50% vs Nesnera 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk -1 · Nesnera -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Nesnera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nesnera form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 3.00 / Nesnera 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Nesnera)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444296
Kolisnyk3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 82 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Nesnera1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 21 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKolisnyk0wins
AwayNesnera3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderNesnera leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk1Nesnera2n = 3Nesnera took 2 of 3
S2Kolisnyk1Nesnera2n = 3Nesnera took 2 of 3
S3Kolisnyk1Nesnera2n = 3Nesnera took 2 of 3
S4Kolisnyk1Nesnera2n = 3Nesnera took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKolisnykNesneraK − NBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.041.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykNesneraBasisWin rate · lifetime576 / 1140 vs 86 / 16050.5%53.8%576 / 1140 vs 86 / 160Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NesneraKolisnyk 3.00/Nesnera 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Nesnera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 9 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk—811781J. Nesnera—11411113
LOct 23 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk—11891182J. Nesnera—911112113
LOct 23 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk—231151J. Nesnera—11119113
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:00M. Huk1.9161111982O. Kolisnyk1.80118711113
J. Nesnera10
LAug 31 · 17:00J. Kycelt1.8071212133J. Nesnera1.91111010111LAug 31 · 16:30E. Mares1.401111113J. Nesnera2.754970LAug 31 · 15:30J. Nesnera2.3813670V. Koubek1.531511113WAug 31 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.73761141J. Nesnera2.0011117113LAug 17 · 16:59E. Mares1.401113113J. Nesnera2.7571180WAug 17 · 16:00E. Mares1.301189101J. Nesnera3.4011111123LAug 17 · 14:30J. Nesnera1.73118714122T. Postelt2.009111112143LAug 11 · 17:30E. Mares1.451111113J. Nesnera2.603870WAug 11 · 16:00J. Nesnera1.731121011113T. Postelt2.0061112862WAug 11 · 15:30M. Kratochvil1.83111011632J. Nesnera1.83912411113
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