TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12442918
Played Aug 16Finished
David Vavrecka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711411119611––
Michal Derco
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDavid Vavrecka above · Michal Derco below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11
70 points played in total.
H2H David Vavrecka 4–3 Michal Derco Michal Derco has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Derco)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derco form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 2.00 / Derco 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Derco)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12442918
Vavrecka2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 9 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Derco1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 22 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVavrecka4wins
AwayDerco3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderVavrecka leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka75%3 of 4
AwayDerco66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka4Derco3n = 7Vavrecka took 4 of 7
S2Vavrecka4Derco3n = 7Vavrecka took 4 of 7
S3Vavrecka4Derco3n = 7Vavrecka took 4 of 7
S4Vavrecka2Derco3n = 5Derco took 3 of 5
S5Vavrecka2Derco1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricVavreckaDercoV − DBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.139.1+1.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaDercoBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 128 vs 42 / 7946.1%53.2%59 / 128 vs 42 / 79Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DercoVavrecka 2.00/Derco 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Derco · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Derco won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 16 · 08:30D. Vavrecka—8711101M. Derco—11116123
LAug 10 · 12:58D. Vavrecka—1134121M. Derco—91111143
WAug 10 · 10:30D. Vavrecka—1111153M. Derco—57130
WMar 29 · 21:30D. Vavrecka—1091311113M. Derco—121111862
LMar 29 · 18:00D. Vavrecka—61191192M. Derco—116117113
WDec 26 · 22:30D. Vavrecka—111175113M. Derco—89111162
WDec 26 · 20:00D. Vavrecka—1111113M. Derco—9790
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113WAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113WAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113
M. Derco10
WAug 20 · 21:14M. Derco2.0281111113T. Navrat1.70118461LAug 20 · 20:30M. Derco2.63111191342M. Blaha1.44881115113LAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113WAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113WAug 16 · 08:30M. Derco1.6711116123D. Vavrecka2.108711101LAug 16 · 07:00M. Derco2.631281121M. Blaha1.4414118113LAug 16 · 06:00P. Banot1.611111113M. Derco2.209380WAug 10 · 12:58M. Derco2.3891111143D. Vavrecka1.531134121LAug 10 · 12:00P. Banot1.8311611113M. Derco1.83911421WAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113
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