TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12467404
Played Aug 20Finished
Michal Derco
Home
2.02
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118114116––
Tomas Navrat
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMichal Derco above · Tomas Navrat below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6
70 points played in total.
H2H Michal Derco 0–1 Tomas Navrat Michal Derco has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Navrat)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Navrat form (20%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerco 2.02 / Navrat 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Navrat)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12467404
Derco2.02
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 16 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Navrat1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 13 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDerco0wins
AwayNavrat1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNavrat leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDercoNavratD − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match51.051.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDercoNavratBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 83 vs 22 / 5953%37.3%44 / 83 vs 22 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NavratDerco 2.02/Navrat 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Navrat · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Derco won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco—118121192T. Navrat—1311106113
M. Derco10
LAug 20 · 20:30M. Derco2.63111191342M. Blaha1.44881115113LAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113WAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113WAug 16 · 08:58D. Vavrecka2.00741161M. Derco1.7311119113WAug 16 · 08:30M. Derco1.6711116123D. Vavrecka2.108711101LAug 16 · 07:00M. Derco2.631281121M. Blaha1.4414118113LAug 16 · 06:00P. Banot1.611111113M. Derco2.209380WAug 10 · 12:58M. Derco2.3891111143D. Vavrecka1.531134121LAug 10 · 12:00P. Banot1.8311611113M. Derco1.83911421WAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113
T. Navrat10
LAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113LAug 20 · 18:30T. Navrat1.36113581M. Blaha3.0091111113LJul 17 · 21:05V. Rybar1.441111113T. Navrat2.638490LJul 17 · 20:00V. Rybar2.0091111113T. Navrat1.73119661WJul 17 · 19:00V. Kocian1.67119911102T. Navrat2.10911119123LJul 17 · 18:30T. Navrat2.10611111082P. Banot1.67119912113LJul 3 · 21:30T. Navrat1.53119111192R. Adamczyk2.38911135113WJul 3 · 20:00A. Kanak1.61911561T. Navrat2.2011911113WJul 3 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.38168791T. Navrat1.53141111113
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