TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12460688
Played Aug 20Finished
Vaclav Rybar
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811711611––
Michal Derco
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Derco to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Rybar above · Michal Derco below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Michal Derco at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Rybar 0–1 Michal Derco Vaclav Rybar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:59What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Derco
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rybar 1329 vs Derco 1252
Rybar
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybar 60% vs Derco 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybar 60% vs Derco 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybar -1 · Derco +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Derco)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybar 2.00 / Derco 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Derco)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12460688
Rybar2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 7 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back17% 1 of 6
Derco1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 24 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRybar0wins
AwayDerco1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDerco leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRybarDercoR − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.048.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybarDercoBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 32 vs 43 / 8056.3%53.8%18 / 32 vs 43 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DercoRybar 2.00/Derco 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Derco · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Derco won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar—1111111142M. Derco—131356113
V. Rybar10
WAug 20 · 21:30M. Blaha1.90951161V. Rybar1.8011117113WAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha1.91111166112V. Rybar1.80891111133LAug 10 · 13:28V. Rybar1.403870P. Banot2.751111113WAug 10 · 12:30V. Rybar1.611111113D. Vavrecka2.206450LAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113WAug 10 · 10:00P. Banot2.258111071V. Rybar1.5711612113WAug 4 · 20:59V. Rybar1.571111113R. Adamczyk2.257740WAug 4 · 20:00V. Kocian2.00101111862V. Rybar1.73129411113WAug 4 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.10105111242V. Rybar1.671211810113
M. Derco10
WAug 20 · 21:14M. Derco2.0281111113T. Navrat1.70118461LAug 20 · 20:30M. Derco2.63111191342M. Blaha1.44881115113LAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113WAug 16 · 08:58D. Vavrecka2.00741161M. Derco1.7311119113WAug 16 · 08:30M. Derco1.6711116123D. Vavrecka2.108711101LAug 16 · 07:00M. Derco2.631281121M. Blaha1.4414118113LAug 16 · 06:00P. Banot1.611111113M. Derco2.209380WAug 10 · 12:58M. Derco2.3891111143D. Vavrecka1.531134121LAug 10 · 12:00P. Banot1.8311611113M. Derco1.83911421WAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113
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