TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12467403
Played Aug 20Finished
Michal Blaha
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911511117611––
Vaclav Rybar
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeVaclav Rybar to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Blaha above · Vaclav Rybar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vaclav Rybar at 57.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Michal Blaha 1–2 Vaclav Rybar Michal Blaha has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rybar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blaha 1173 vs Rybar 1363
Rybar
Correct
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blaha 40% vs Rybar 60%
Rybar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blaha 40% vs Rybar 70%
Rybar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blaha +1 · Rybar +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rybar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blaha form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlaha 1.90 / Rybar 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rybar)+2.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12467403
Blaha1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 16 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Rybar1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 11 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBlaha1wins
AwayRybar2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderRybar leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blaha2Rybar1n = 3Blaha took 2 of 3
S2Blaha1Rybar2n = 3Rybar took 2 of 3
S3Blaha2Rybar1n = 3Blaha took 2 of 3
S4Blaha1Rybar2n = 3Rybar took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBlahaRybarB − RBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.040.7−1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlahaRybarBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 176 vs 21 / 3650.6%58.3%89 / 176 vs 21 / 36Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RybarBlaha 1.90/Rybar 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rybar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rybar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 20 · 21:30M. Blaha—951161V. Rybar—11117113
LAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha—111166112V. Rybar—891111133
WAug 4 · 18:30M. Blaha—11712113V. Rybar—7111021
M. Blaha10
WAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462LAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530WAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171WAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192LAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191WAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113LAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792
V. Rybar10
WAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha1.91111166112V. Rybar1.80891111133LAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113LAug 10 · 13:28V. Rybar1.403870P. Banot2.751111113WAug 10 · 12:30V. Rybar1.611111113D. Vavrecka2.206450LAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113WAug 10 · 10:00P. Banot2.258111071V. Rybar1.5711612113WAug 4 · 20:59V. Rybar1.571111113R. Adamczyk2.257740WAug 4 · 20:00V. Kocian2.00101111862V. Rybar1.73129411113WAug 4 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.10105111242V. Rybar1.671211810113
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