TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12388435
Played Aug 10Finished
Petr Banot
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111161012711––
Vaclav Rybar
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:22 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timePetr Banot to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Banot above · Vaclav Rybar below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Petr Banot at 56.4%
76 points played in total.
H2H Petr Banot 1–1 Vaclav Rybar Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:22What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rybar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Banot 1282 vs Rybar 1343
Rybar
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Banot 100% vs Rybar 60%
Banot
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Banot 70% vs Rybar 40%
Banot
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Banot +5 · Rybar +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rybar) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Banot form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBanot 2.25 / Rybar 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rybar)-4.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12388435
Banot2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 17 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Rybar1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 9 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBanot1wins
AwayRybar1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBanotRybarB − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match41.543.5−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBanotRybarBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 92 vs 16 / 2845.7%57.1%42 / 92 vs 16 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RybarBanot 2.25/Rybar 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rybar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rybar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 17 · 19:30P. Banot—711119113V. Rybar—11871192
LJul 14 · 07:00P. Banot—881171V. Rybar—11118113
P. Banot10
LAug 20 · 21:00P. Banot1.8011913892D. Tyn1.918111111113LAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky3.256111311133P. Banot1.331113118112LAug 20 · 19:30P. Banot2.63811561Z. Zientek1.4411711113WAug 20 · 18:30D. Tyn2.0081111392P. Banot1.73118911113WAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky2.636410P. Banot1.441111113LAug 18 · 08:30Z. Zientek1.501111113P. Banot2.504690WAug 18 · 07:30P. Banot1.4411711113M. Levicky2.63811681LAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101WAug 16 · 09:29P. Banot1.5011119113M. Blaha2.50631161WAug 16 · 08:00P. Banot1.6191111113M. Blaha2.20116701
V. Rybar10
WAug 20 · 21:30M. Blaha1.90951161V. Rybar1.8011117113WAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha1.91111166112V. Rybar1.80891111133LAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113LAug 10 · 13:28V. Rybar1.403870P. Banot2.751111113WAug 10 · 12:30V. Rybar1.611111113D. Vavrecka2.206450LAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113WAug 4 · 20:59V. Rybar1.571111113R. Adamczyk2.257740WAug 4 · 20:00V. Kocian2.00101111862V. Rybar1.73129411113WAug 4 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.10105111242V. Rybar1.671211810113
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