TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12448257
Played Aug 18Finished
Zbynek Zientek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116119––––
Petr Banot
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Banot to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZbynek Zientek above · Petr Banot below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Petr Banot at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Zientek 7–1 Petr Banot Petr Banot has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:30What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zientek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Zientek
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zientek 1322 vs Banot 1363
Banot
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zientek 60% vs Banot 80%
Banot
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zientek 50% vs Banot 80%
Banot
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zientek -1 · Banot +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zientek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Banot form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZientek 1.50 / Banot 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Zientek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12448257
Zientek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 56 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 44 of 62
Banot2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZientek7wins
AwayBanot1wins
3 of 8 to a deciderZientek leads 7–1, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZientek100%6 of 6
AwayBanotn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zientek6Banot2n = 8Zientek took 6 of 8
S2Zientek5Banot3n = 8Zientek took 5 of 8
S3Zientek5Banot3n = 8Zientek took 5 of 8
S4Zientek2Banot3n = 5Banot took 3 of 5
S5Zientek3Banot0n = 3Zientek took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricZientekBanotZ − BBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match39.436.0+3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZientekBanotBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 365 vs 50 / 10249%49%179 / 365 vs 50 / 102Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZientekZientek 1.50/Banot 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Zientek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zientek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WMay 2 · 17:29Z. Zientek—11115113P. Banot—971161
WMay 2 · 15:30Z. Zientek—1112116113P. Banot—81491172
WMar 30 · 06:00Z. Zientek—13411113P. Banot—1111691
LMar 15 · 10:28Z. Zientek—7850P. Banot—1111113
WMar 15 · 08:30Z. Zientek—1111113P. Banot—7880
WMar 6 · 10:28Z. Zientek—1011118113P. Banot—12961172
WMar 6 · 07:00Z. Zientek—111179113P. Banot—86111192
WFeb 27 · 09:30Z. Zientek—1111123P. Banot—67100
Z. Zientek10
WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102WAug 28 · 20:30Z. Zientek1.5717116113D. Tyn2.251561161
P. Banot10
LAug 20 · 21:00P. Banot1.8011913892D. Tyn1.918111111113LAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky3.256111311133P. Banot1.331113118112LAug 20 · 19:30P. Banot2.63811561Z. Zientek1.4411711113WAug 20 · 18:30D. Tyn2.0081111392P. Banot1.73118911113WAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky2.636410P. Banot1.441111113WAug 18 · 07:30P. Banot1.4411711113M. Levicky2.63811681LAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101WAug 16 · 09:29P. Banot1.5011119113M. Blaha2.50631161WAug 16 · 08:00P. Banot1.6191111113M. Blaha2.20116701WAug 16 · 07:30D. Vavrecka4.334950P. Banot1.201111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.