TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12449621
Played Aug 18Finished
Petr Banot
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118711116118––
Matej Levicky
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:31 and never touched — 71.8% is still 71.8%
Graded at full timePetr Banot to win
71.8%
71.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Banot above · Matej Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Petr Banot at 71.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Petr Banot 7–2 Matej Levicky Matej Levicky has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:31What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Banot
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Banot
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Banot 1359 vs Levicky 1283
Banot
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Banot 80% vs Levicky 0%
Banot
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Banot 80% vs Levicky 40%
Banot
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Banot -1 · Levicky -5
Levicky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Banot) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBanot 1.44 / Levicky 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Banot)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12449621
Banot1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 32 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it83% 30 of 36
Levicky2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 41 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBanot7wins
AwayLevicky2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderBanot leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBanot87.5%7 of 8
AwayLevickyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Banot8Levicky1n = 9Banot took 8 of 9
S2Banot5Levicky4n = 9Banot took 5 of 9
S3Banot5Levicky4n = 9Banot took 5 of 9
S4Banot6Levicky1n = 7Banot took 6 of 7
S5Banot1Levicky2n = 3Levicky took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricBanotLevickyB − LBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set81+7of 9Avg pointsper match41.433.0+8.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBanotLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 104 vs 194 / 36649%53%51 / 104 vs 194 / 366Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BanotBanot 1.44/Levicky 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Banot · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Banot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 18 · 08:58P. Banot—1111113M. Levicky—6410
WAug 18 · 07:30P. Banot—11711113M. Levicky—811681
LMay 9 · 13:00P. Banot—11541162M. Levicky—611118113
WMay 9 · 10:30P. Banot—11711113M. Levicky—611661
LApr 17 · 07:00P. Banot—1011811132M. Levicky—126116153
WMar 8 · 16:00P. Banot—1111113M. Levicky—9170
WMar 7 · 12:00P. Banot—11138123M. Levicky—41111101
WFeb 27 · 10:05P. Banot—1110117113M. Levicky—51271142
WFeb 27 · 07:30P. Banot—111110113M. Levicky—991251
P. Banot10
LAug 20 · 21:00P. Banot1.8011913892D. Tyn1.918111111113LAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky3.256111311133P. Banot1.331113118112LAug 20 · 19:30P. Banot2.63811561Z. Zientek1.4411711113WAug 20 · 18:30D. Tyn2.0081111392P. Banot1.73118911113WAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky2.636410P. Banot1.441111113LAug 18 · 08:30Z. Zientek1.501111113P. Banot2.504690LAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101WAug 16 · 09:29P. Banot1.5011119113M. Blaha2.50631161WAug 16 · 08:00P. Banot1.6191111113M. Blaha2.20116701WAug 16 · 07:30D. Vavrecka4.334950P. Banot1.201111113
M. Levicky10
LSep 7 · 08:00D. Tyn1.4051412113M. Levicky2.7511121091WSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113LSep 7 · 06:30M. Levicky1.837111081M. Kaspar1.8311712113LSep 6 · 09:00A. Schneeberger1.4411111010113M. Levicky2.6346121292LSep 6 · 08:30D. Tyn1.531111113M. Levicky2.388890LSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:30A. Schneeberger1.731111113M. Levicky2.005790LAug 30 · 12:59M. Levicky1.5716137992M. Kaspar2.2514111111113WAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky3.256111311133P. Banot1.331113118112LAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky2.636410P. Banot1.441111113
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