TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12439740
Played Aug 16Finished
David Vavrecka
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911511––––
Petr Banot
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timePetr Banot to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Vavrecka above · Petr Banot below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Petr Banot at 78.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H David Vavrecka 0–4 Petr Banot David Vavrecka has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Banot
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Banot
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1185 vs Banot 1368
Banot
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 40% vs Banot 80%
Banot
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 30% vs Banot 90%
Banot
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +1 · Banot +4
Banot
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Banot)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 4.33 / Banot 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Banot)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12439740
Vavrecka4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 9 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Banot1.20
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 30 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVavrecka0wins
AwayBanot4wins
Banot leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavreckan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBanot100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka0Banot4n = 4Banot took 4 of 4
S2Vavrecka0Banot4n = 4Banot took 4 of 4
S3Vavrecka0Banot4n = 4Banot took 4 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away4100%
These 4 meetings
MetricVavreckaBanotV − BBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match19.833.5−13.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaBanotBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 121 vs 49 / 10046.3%49%56 / 121 vs 49 / 100Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BanotVavrecka 4.33/Banot 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Banot · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Banot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 16 · 07:30D. Vavrecka—4950P. Banot—1111113
LAug 10 · 11:30D. Vavrecka—91020P. Banot—1112113
LAug 9 · 08:00D. Vavrecka—9920P. Banot—1111113
LJun 30 · 08:00D. Vavrecka—55100P. Banot—1111123
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113WAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113WAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113
P. Banot10
LAug 20 · 21:00P. Banot1.8011913892D. Tyn1.918111111113LAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky3.256111311133P. Banot1.331113118112LAug 20 · 19:30P. Banot2.63811561Z. Zientek1.4411711113WAug 20 · 18:30D. Tyn2.0081111392P. Banot1.73118911113WAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky2.636410P. Banot1.441111113LAug 18 · 08:30Z. Zientek1.501111113P. Banot2.504690WAug 18 · 07:30P. Banot1.4411711113M. Levicky2.63811681LAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101WAug 16 · 09:29P. Banot1.5011119113M. Blaha2.50631161WAug 16 · 08:00P. Banot1.6191111113M. Blaha2.20116701
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