TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12460592
Played Aug 20Finished
Petr Banot
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117511611––
Zbynek Zientek
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:32 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeZbynek Zientek to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Banot above · Zbynek Zientek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Zbynek Zientek at 68.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Petr Banot 1–8 Zbynek Zientek Petr Banot has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:32What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zientek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Zientek
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Banot 1368 vs Zientek 1357
Banot
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Banot 60% vs Zientek 80%
Zientek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Banot 80% vs Zientek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Banot +2 · Zientek +3
Zientek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zientek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zientek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBanot 2.63 / Zientek 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Zientek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12460592
Banot2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 18 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Zientek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite49% won 58 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it71% 46 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBanot1wins
AwayZientek8wins
3 of 9 to a deciderZientek leads 8–1, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBanotn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZientek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Banot2Zientek7n = 9Zientek took 7 of 9
S2Banot3Zientek6n = 9Zientek took 6 of 9
S3Banot3Zientek6n = 9Zientek took 6 of 9
S4Banot3Zientek2n = 5Banot took 3 of 5
S5Banot0Zientek3n = 3Zientek took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricBanotZientekB − ZBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match34.138.7−4.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBanotZientekBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 105 vs 182 / 36849.5%49.5%52 / 105 vs 182 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZientekBanot 2.63/Zientek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Zientek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zientek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 18 · 08:30P. Banot—4690Z. Zientek—1111113
LMay 2 · 17:29P. Banot—971161Z. Zientek—11115113
LMay 2 · 15:30P. Banot—81491172Z. Zientek—1112116113
LMar 30 · 06:00P. Banot—1111691Z. Zientek—13411113
WMar 15 · 10:28P. Banot—1111113Z. Zientek—7850
LMar 15 · 08:30P. Banot—7880Z. Zientek—1111113
LMar 6 · 10:28P. Banot—12961172Z. Zientek—1011118113
LMar 6 · 07:00P. Banot—86111192Z. Zientek—111179113
LFeb 27 · 09:30P. Banot—67100Z. Zientek—1111123
P. Banot10
LAug 20 · 21:00P. Banot1.8011913892D. Tyn1.918111111113LAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky3.256111311133P. Banot1.331113118112WAug 20 · 18:30D. Tyn2.0081111392P. Banot1.73118911113WAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky2.636410P. Banot1.441111113LAug 18 · 08:30Z. Zientek1.501111113P. Banot2.504690WAug 18 · 07:30P. Banot1.4411711113M. Levicky2.63811681LAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101WAug 16 · 09:29P. Banot1.5011119113M. Blaha2.50631161WAug 16 · 08:00P. Banot1.6191111113M. Blaha2.20116701WAug 16 · 07:30D. Vavrecka4.334950P. Banot1.201111113
Z. Zientek10
WSep 2 · 09:30P. Varecha1.60761271Z. Zientek2.20111110113LSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100WSep 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.50114911113P. Varecha1.5071111752WSep 2 · 06:30E. Sionkala1.36149571Z. Zientek3.00121111113LAug 30 · 09:00R. Kvasnicka1.61611711123Z. Zientek2.20117114102LAug 30 · 08:30Z. Zientek2.0011511892R. Kvasnicka1.73611811113LAug 30 · 07:00Z. Zientek2.00118681F. Zurek1.7391111113LAug 30 · 06:00M. Kolek1.91115914113Z. Zientek1.80911111282WAug 28 · 20:59Z. Zientek1.531114109123D. Tyn2.388121211102WAug 18 · 08:30Z. Zientek1.501111113P. Banot2.504690
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