TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12356056
Played Aug 4Finished
Radek Adamczyk
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10125111181210411
Vaclav Rybar
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:36 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeVaclav Rybar to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Adamczyk above · Vaclav Rybar below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 94 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Vaclav Rybar at 57.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Radek Adamczyk 1–2 Vaclav Rybar Radek Adamczyk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:36What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rybar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamczyk 1253 vs Rybar 1321
Rybar
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamczyk 40% vs Rybar 20%
Adamczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamczyk 60% vs Rybar 30%
Adamczyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamczyk -2 · Rybar -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Rybar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rybar form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 2.10 / Rybar 1.67
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Rybar)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12356056
Adamczyk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 14 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back47% 7 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back43% 3 of 7
Rybar1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 6 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdamczyk1wins
AwayRybar2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderRybar leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamczyk1Rybar2n = 3Rybar took 2 of 3
S2Adamczyk3Rybar0n = 3Adamczyk took 3 of 3
S3Adamczyk3Rybar0n = 3Adamczyk took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdamczykRybarA − RBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.736.3−0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykRybarBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 65 vs 13 / 2549.2%52%32 / 65 vs 13 / 25Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RybarAdamczyk 2.10/Rybar 1.67
Hit
What we said
62.8%
Rybar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rybar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 14 · 09:30R. Adamczyk—31111852V. Rybar—115611113
LJul 14 · 06:00R. Adamczyk—51111542V. Rybar—115611113
WJul 3 · 20:30R. Adamczyk—1111113V. Rybar—8490
R. Adamczyk10
LAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113WAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792LAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113LAug 22 · 18:00D. Tyn1.501111113R. Adamczyk2.504350WAug 10 · 09:30R. Adamczyk1.7311911113D. Vavrecka2.00211641WAug 10 · 08:00D. Vavrecka1.61661141R. Adamczyk2.2011119113WAug 10 · 07:00Z. Luksa1.80541261R. Adamczyk1.91111110113WAug 10 · 06:30R. Adamczyk1.251111113J. Toth3.759640LAug 9 · 09:28P. Banot1.67111211113R. Adamczyk2.10514321WAug 9 · 08:30R. Adamczyk2.001111137113Z. Luksa1.73513111182
V. Rybar10
WAug 20 · 21:30M. Blaha1.90951161V. Rybar1.8011117113WAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha1.91111166112V. Rybar1.80891111133LAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113LAug 10 · 13:28V. Rybar1.403870P. Banot2.751111113WAug 10 · 12:30V. Rybar1.611111113D. Vavrecka2.206450LAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113WAug 10 · 10:00P. Banot2.258111071V. Rybar1.5711612113WAug 4 · 20:59V. Rybar1.571111113R. Adamczyk2.257740WAug 4 · 20:00V. Kocian2.00101111862V. Rybar1.73129411113
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