TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12391020
Played Aug 10Finished
Vaclav Rybar
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116114115––––
David Vavrecka
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:12 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeVaclav Rybar to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Rybar above · David Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 48 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Vaclav Rybar at 62.2%
48 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rybar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rybar 1339 vs Vavrecka 1192
Rybar
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rybar 80% vs Vavrecka 20%
Rybar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rybar 50% vs Vavrecka 20%
Rybar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rybar -1 · Vavrecka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Rybar) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRybar 1.61 / Vavrecka 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Rybar)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12391020
Rybar1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 9 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Vavrecka2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 7 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRybarVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 30 vs 63 / 13556.7%46.7%17 / 30 vs 63 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RybarRybar 1.61/Vavrecka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Rybar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rybar won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Rybar10
WAug 20 · 21:30M. Blaha1.90951161V. Rybar1.8011117113WAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:30M. Blaha1.91111166112V. Rybar1.80891111133LAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113LAug 10 · 13:28V. Rybar1.403870P. Banot2.751111113LAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113WAug 10 · 10:00P. Banot2.258111071V. Rybar1.5711612113WAug 4 · 20:59V. Rybar1.571111113R. Adamczyk2.257740WAug 4 · 20:00V. Kocian2.00101111862V. Rybar1.73129411113WAug 4 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.10105111242V. Rybar1.671211810113
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113WAug 27 · 13:30Z. Luksa1.536880D. Vavrecka2.201111113WAug 27 · 12:30M. Stolba2.20151111762D. Vavrecka1.61177911113
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