TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12396536
Played Aug 10Finished
Michal Derco
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111131141412––
David Vavrecka
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingMichal Derco above · David Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 75 set 4, 14-12
75 points played in total.
H2H Michal Derco 1–4 David Vavrecka Michal Derco has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerco 2.38 / Vavrecka 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Vavrecka)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12396536
Derco2.38
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 14 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back31% 4 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Vavrecka1.53
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDerco1wins
AwayVavrecka4wins
3 of 5 to a deciderVavrecka leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDercon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVavrecka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derco2Vavrecka3n = 5Vavrecka took 3 of 5
S2Derco1Vavrecka4n = 5Vavrecka took 4 of 5
S3Derco2Vavrecka3n = 5Vavrecka took 3 of 5
S4Derco1Vavrecka2n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
S5Derco1Vavrecka2n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricDercoVavreckaD − VBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match37.843.0−5.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDercoVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 79 vs 63 / 13651.9%46.3%41 / 79 vs 63 / 136Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaDerco 2.38/Vavrecka 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Derco won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 10 · 10:30M. Derco—57130D. Vavrecka—1111153
LMar 29 · 21:30M. Derco—121111862D. Vavrecka—1091311113
WMar 29 · 18:00M. Derco—116117113D. Vavrecka—61191192
LDec 26 · 22:30M. Derco—89111162D. Vavrecka—111175113
LDec 26 · 20:00M. Derco—9790D. Vavrecka—1111113
M. Derco10
WAug 20 · 21:14M. Derco2.0281111113T. Navrat1.70118461LAug 20 · 20:30M. Derco2.63111191342M. Blaha1.44881115113LAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113WAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113WAug 16 · 08:58D. Vavrecka2.00741161M. Derco1.7311119113WAug 16 · 08:30M. Derco1.6711116123D. Vavrecka2.108711101LAug 16 · 07:00M. Derco2.631281121M. Blaha1.4414118113LAug 16 · 06:00P. Banot1.611111113M. Derco2.209380LAug 10 · 12:00P. Banot1.8311611113M. Derco1.83911421WAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113
D. Vavrecka10
LSep 6 · 13:00I. Kolenciak1.8311711113D. Vavrecka1.83411851LSep 6 · 12:00I. Kolenciak2.00412411113D. Vavrecka1.73111011892LSep 6 · 11:00A. Kanak1.6711711173D. Vavrecka2.108112151LSep 6 · 10:30D. Vavrecka1.8011971192I. Palmi1.91811117113LAug 29 · 20:59D. Vavrecka1.53111081122M. Stolba2.38612115113LAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462WAug 29 · 19:00M. Stolba2.20571191D. Vavrecka1.6111115113LAug 29 · 18:30D. Vavrecka1.7311961342A. Kanak2.003111111113LAug 16 · 08:58D. Vavrecka2.00741161M. Derco1.7311119113LAug 16 · 08:30M. Derco1.6711116123D. Vavrecka2.108711101
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