TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12439793
Played Aug 16Finished
Petr Banot
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119113118––––
Michal Derco
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timePetr Banot to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Banot above · Michal Derco below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Petr Banot at 57.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Petr Banot 2–0 Michal Derco Michal Derco has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Banot
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Banot 1368 vs Derco 1252
Banot
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Banot 80% vs Derco 60%
Banot
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Banot 80% vs Derco 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Banot +3 · Derco +1
Banot
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Banot) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derco form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBanot 1.61 / Derco 2.20
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Banot)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12439793
Banot1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 30 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Derco2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 16 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBanot2wins
AwayDerco0wins
Banot leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBanotDercoB − DBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.023.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBanotDercoBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 100 vs 43 / 8049%53.8%49 / 100 vs 43 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BanotBanot 1.61/Derco 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Banot · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Banot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 16 · 06:00P. Banot—1111113M. Derco—9380
WAug 10 · 12:00P. Banot—11611113M. Derco—911421
P. Banot10
LAug 20 · 21:00P. Banot1.8011913892D. Tyn1.918111111113LAug 20 · 20:30M. Levicky3.256111311133P. Banot1.331113118112LAug 20 · 19:30P. Banot2.63811561Z. Zientek1.4411711113WAug 20 · 18:30D. Tyn2.0081111392P. Banot1.73118911113WAug 18 · 08:58M. Levicky2.636410P. Banot1.441111113LAug 18 · 08:30Z. Zientek1.501111113P. Banot2.504690WAug 18 · 07:30P. Banot1.4411711113M. Levicky2.63811681LAug 18 · 06:30M. Kaspar1.7311811123P. Banot2.007116101WAug 16 · 09:29P. Banot1.5011119113M. Blaha2.50631161WAug 16 · 08:00P. Banot1.6191111113M. Blaha2.20116701
M. Derco10
WAug 20 · 21:14M. Derco2.0281111113T. Navrat1.70118461LAug 20 · 20:30M. Derco2.63111191342M. Blaha1.44881115113LAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113WAug 20 · 18:00V. Rybar2.00118761M. Derco1.7381111113WAug 16 · 08:58D. Vavrecka2.00741161M. Derco1.7311119113WAug 16 · 08:30M. Derco1.6711116123D. Vavrecka2.108711101LAug 16 · 07:00M. Derco2.631281121M. Blaha1.4414118113WAug 10 · 12:58M. Derco2.3891111143D. Vavrecka1.531134121LAug 10 · 12:00P. Banot1.8311611113M. Derco1.83911421WAug 10 · 11:00V. Rybar1.801111111142M. Derco1.91131356113
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