Vojtech Kocian vs Tomas Navrat 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12243623

Played Jul 17Finished

Vojtech Kocian

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1199119111191012

Tomas Navrat

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingVojtech Kocian above · Tomas Navrat below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 10-12

Point 102 set 5, 10-12

102 points played in total.

H2H Vojtech Kocian 4–3 Tomas Navrat Tomas Navrat has won 3 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 4–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kocian)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Navrat form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKocian 1.67 / Navrat 2.10

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Kocian)+1.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12243623

Kocian1.67

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite70% won 39 of 56

Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it90% 27 of 30

Navrat2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog19% won 6 of 31

Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19

Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeKocian4wins

AwayNavrat3wins

3 of 7 to a deciderKocian leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKocian50%2 of 4

AwayNavrat33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kocian4Navrat3n = 7Kocian took 4 of 7

S2Kocian3Navrat4n = 7Navrat took 4 of 7

S3Kocian3Navrat4n = 7Navrat took 4 of 7

S4Kocian5Navrat1n = 6Kocian took 5 of 6

S5Kocian1Navrat2n = 3Navrat took 2 of 3

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home343%

3–2Decider, home114%

2–3Decider, away229%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away114%

These 7 meetings

MetricKocianNavratK − NBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.337.9+3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKocianNavratBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 138 vs 33 / 7251.5%45.8%71 / 138 vs 33 / 72Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kocian

Kocian 1.67/Navrat 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.8%

Kocian · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Navrat won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record7

WJun 5 · 19:30V. Kocian—1191211113T. Navrat—131110262

LApr 12 · 21:28V. Kocian—116111182T. Navrat—411138113

LApr 12 · 20:30V. Kocian—61060T. Navrat—1112113

LMar 26 · 22:30V. Kocian—11116972T. Navrat—851111113

WMar 26 · 19:00V. Kocian—91111113T. Navrat—115781

WMar 22 · 22:30V. Kocian—11117113T. Navrat—871161

WMar 22 · 19:00V. Kocian—11711113T. Navrat—911491

V. Kocian10

WSep 7 · 08:30V. Kocian1.531111133M. Kaspar2.3886110 LSep 7 · 07:00V. Kocian1.7311491172M. Levicky2.00811119113 WSep 7 · 06:00D. Tyn2.001110991V. Kocian1.7351211113 LAug 30 · 13:30V. Kocian1.7395110D. Tyn2.001111133 WAug 30 · 12:30D. Tyn2.10671191V. Kocian1.6711115113 WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kocian2.25511119113M. Levicky1.5711541152 WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kaspar2.2568111582V. Kocian1.571111913113 LAug 22 · 21:28V. Kocian1.57116761D. Tyn2.2551111113 WAug 22 · 20:00D. Tyn2.101111105122V. Kocian1.67981211143 WAug 22 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.75131181152V. Kocian1.40159119113

T. Navrat10

LAug 20 · 21:14M. Derco2.0281111113T. Navrat1.70118461 LAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661 WAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113 LAug 20 · 18:30T. Navrat1.36113581M. Blaha3.0091111113 LJul 17 · 21:05V. Rybar1.441111113T. Navrat2.638490 LJul 17 · 20:00V. Rybar2.0091111113T. Navrat1.73119661 LJul 17 · 18:30T. Navrat2.10611111082P. Banot1.67119912113 LJul 3 · 21:30T. Navrat1.53119111192R. Adamczyk2.38911135113 WJul 3 · 20:00A. Kanak1.61911561T. Navrat2.2011911113 WJul 3 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.38168791T. Navrat1.53141111113

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