TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12460561
Played Aug 20Finished
Tomas Navrat
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119311511811––
Michal Blaha
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:19 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Navrat to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Navrat above · Michal Blaha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Navrat at 68.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Navrat 4–0 Michal Blaha Michal Blaha has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Navrat
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Navrat
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Navrat 1243 vs Blaha 1180
Navrat
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Navrat 20% vs Blaha 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Navrat 50% vs Blaha 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Navrat -2 · Blaha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Navrat)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blaha form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavrat 1.36 / Blaha 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Navrat)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12460561
Navrat1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 13 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Blaha3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 16 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeNavrat4wins
AwayBlaha0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderNavrat leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavrat100%3 of 3
AwayBlahan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navrat3Blaha1n = 4Navrat took 3 of 4
S2Navrat4Blaha0n = 4Navrat took 4 of 4
S3Navrat2Blaha2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricNavratBlahaN − BBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.031.0+9.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavratBlahaBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 56 vs 87 / 17237.5%50.6%21 / 56 vs 87 / 172Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NavratNavrat 1.36/Blaha 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Navrat · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blaha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WApr 26 · 13:00T. Navrat—1111113M. Blaha—9890
WApr 26 · 10:30T. Navrat—912911113M. Blaha—111011272
WMar 26 · 20:30T. Navrat—12118113M. Blaha—1081191
WMar 22 · 21:00T. Navrat—1111113M. Blaha—3790
T. Navrat10
LAug 20 · 21:14M. Derco2.0281111113T. Navrat1.70118461LAug 20 · 20:00V. Rybar1.3613811113T. Navrat3.001111661WAug 20 · 19:00M. Derco1.83118121192T. Navrat1.831311106113LJul 17 · 21:05V. Rybar1.441111113T. Navrat2.638490LJul 17 · 20:00V. Rybar2.0091111113T. Navrat1.73119661WJul 17 · 19:00V. Kocian1.67119911102T. Navrat2.10911119123LJul 17 · 18:30T. Navrat2.10611111082P. Banot1.67119912113LJul 3 · 21:30T. Navrat1.53119111192R. Adamczyk2.38911135113WJul 3 · 20:00A. Kanak1.61911561T. Navrat2.2011911113WJul 3 · 19:00R. Adamczyk2.38168791T. Navrat1.53141111113
M. Blaha10
WAug 29 · 21:30A. Kanak2.501176111M. Blaha1.4071111133WAug 29 · 20:00M. Blaha2.00671111113D. Vavrecka1.7311116462LAug 29 · 19:30A. Kanak3.0011114113M. Blaha1.36951171WAug 29 · 18:00M. Blaha1.441111113M. Stolba2.636530WAug 27 · 13:02M. Blaha1.8011116113M. Stolba1.91651171WAug 27 · 12:00M. Blaha1.83911119113Z. Luksa1.8311971192LAug 27 · 11:30D. Vavrecka1.6711116113M. Blaha2.10981191WAug 27 · 10:00M. Blaha1.67711911133M. Stolba2.10117117112WAug 22 · 21:04R. Adamczyk1.919101141M. Blaha1.8011128113LAug 22 · 20:30R. Adamczyk2.00116711113M. Blaha1.7371111792
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.