TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378804
Played Aug 7Finished
Alexander Tkachenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311114––––
Oleksandr Bondarchuk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
How it is goingAlexander Tkachenko above · Oleksandr Bondarchuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 58 set 3, 11-4
58 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Tkachenko 21–17 Oleksandr Bondarchuk Oleksandr Bondarchuk has won 17 of their 38 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bondarchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarchuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkachenko 1.83 / Bondarchuk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bondarchuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12378804
Tkachenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Bondarchuk1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkachenko7wins
AwayBondarchuk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkachenko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkachenko100%5 of 5
AwayBondarchuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkachenko5Bondarchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Tkachenko6Bondarchuk4n = 10Tkachenko took 6 of 10
S3Tkachenko6Bondarchuk4n = 10Tkachenko took 6 of 10
S4Tkachenko4Bondarchuk2n = 6Tkachenko took 4 of 6
S5Tkachenko2Bondarchuk1n = 3Tkachenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkachenkoBondarchukT − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.935.6+2.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkachenkoBondarchukBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 291 vs 193 / 36048.1%53.6%140 / 291 vs 193 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarchukTkachenko 1.83/Bondarchuk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bondarchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tkachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 13:30A. Tkachenko—4980O. Bondarchuk—1111113
WJul 4 · 12:30A. Tkachenko—11119113O. Bondarchuk—651171
LJun 27 · 11:18A. Tkachenko—81160O. Bondarchuk—1113113
WJun 27 · 08:50A. Tkachenko—511711113O. Bondarchuk—11811892
WMay 9 · 08:50A. Tkachenko—1113113O. Bondarchuk—91190
WMay 8 · 16:50A. Tkachenko—1311113O. Bondarchuk—11490
WMay 1 · 07:05A. Tkachenko—11911113O. Bondarchuk—811881
LApr 30 · 15:10A. Tkachenko—101111582O. Bondarchuk—127711113
WApr 25 · 05:50A. Tkachenko—51111113O. Bondarchuk—114761
WApr 24 · 16:50A. Tkachenko—127129113O. Bondarchuk—1011101162
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 21 · 16:30A. Tkachenko1.57591111112D. Neborak2.25111159133LAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113LAug 21 · 14:00A. Tkachenko2.2011911111O. Ivchuk1.6181113133WAug 21 · 13:00A. Tkachenko2.00141011143I. Hermakivskyi1.7312127121LAug 8 · 09:20D. Neborak2.251111143A. Tkachenko1.5759120LAug 8 · 08:20A. Tkachenko1.808480I. Hermakivskyi1.911111113WAug 8 · 07:20O. Bondarchuk1.9181140A. Tkachenko1.801113113LAug 8 · 06:20A. Tkachenko1.8071060O. Ivchuk1.911112113WAug 7 · 15:30D. Neborak2.25951131A. Tkachenko1.5711119113WAug 7 · 14:30A. Tkachenko1.911111113I. Hermakivskyi1.809980
O. Bondarchuk10
WAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113WAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580WAug 21 · 13:30D. Neborak3.4018111172O. Bondarchuk1.30111179113WAug 21 · 12:30O. Bondarchuk1.2511612113O. Ivchuk3.753111071WAug 13 · 10:44O. Ivchuk3.75115851O. Bondarchuk1.2561111113WAug 13 · 09:35O. Bondarchuk1.3611911113D. Neborak3.00511841WAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661WAug 13 · 07:05O. Bondarchuk1.2811911113O. Ivchuk3.50811481LAug 8 · 07:20O. Bondarchuk1.9181140A. Tkachenko1.801113113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.