TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378762
Played Aug 8Finished
Andrii Melchenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61111714124111210
Oleh Volynets
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Melchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Melchenko above · Oleh Volynets below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Andrii Melchenko at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Melchenko 1–2 Oleh Volynets Andrii Melchenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Melchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melchenko 1547 vs Volynets 1470
Melchenko
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melchenko 100% vs Volynets 0%
Melchenko
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melchenko 50% vs Volynets 20%
Melchenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melchenko +5 · Volynets -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Melchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volynets form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelchenko 1.67 / Volynets 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Melchenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12378762
Melchenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Volynets2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 23 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMelchenko1wins
AwayVolynets2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVolynets leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melchenko1Volynets2n = 3Volynets took 2 of 3
S2Melchenko1Volynets2n = 3Volynets took 2 of 3
S3Melchenko2Volynets1n = 3Melchenko took 2 of 3
S4Melchenko2Volynets1n = 3Melchenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMelchenkoVolynetsM − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.738.0+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelchenkoVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 45 vs 326 / 58944.4%55.4%20 / 45 vs 326 / 589Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelchenkoMelchenko 1.67/Volynets 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Melchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Melchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LMar 28 · 06:05A. Melchenko—116111172O. Volynets—131155113
LDec 6 · 06:05A. Melchenko—8101191O. Volynets—11125113
WOct 12 · 06:05A. Melchenko—11118113O. Volynets—471181
A. Melchenko10
WAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113LAug 29 · 10:35A. Melchenko1.737990Y. Kovshun2.001111113LAug 29 · 08:35A. Troyan1.83111111113A. Melchenko1.83871391LAug 29 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.5011116113A. Melchenko2.50871191LAug 29 · 05:35A. Kotiash1.8311118113A. Melchenko1.83791191LAug 8 · 10:08A. Melchenko1.65811461A. Troyan2.1011511113LAug 8 · 08:35Y. Volkov1.801111123A. Melchenko1.9146100LAug 8 · 07:35A. Melchenko1.61811101222A. Lobanov2.201191210113WAug 8 · 06:35A. Troyan2.00106111262A. Melchenko1.731211510113WApr 26 · 12:50B. Zaika2.38148991A. Melchenko1.53121111113
O. Volynets10
WSep 7 · 06:30S. Solomko2.009880O. Volynets1.731111113LSep 7 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.831112113O. Volynets1.8361060LSep 2 · 11:30A. Troyan1.801112123O. Volynets1.91910100WSep 2 · 10:00O. Volynets1.5381111113D. Khairov2.38116951LSep 2 · 08:00V. Kolesnykov2.20912119133O. Volynets1.611110511112LSep 2 · 06:00A. Kotiash2.3891111113O. Volynets1.53114881WSep 2 · 05:00I. Emets2.003990O. Volynets1.731111113LAug 31 · 10:30O. Volynets1.571411611112I. Emets2.251261113133LAug 31 · 09:00O. Volynets1.534750D. Khairov2.381111113LAug 31 · 07:30O. Volynets2.6310790V. Bilobrov1.441211113
Upcoming Matches
A. Melchenko
Nothing scheduled
O. Volynets
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