TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11800480
Played Apr 26Finished
Bohdan Zaika
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412811911911––
Andrii Melchenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingBohdan Zaika above · Andrii Melchenko below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 85 set 4, 9-11
85 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Zaika 0–1 Andrii Melchenko Bohdan Zaika has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Melchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melchenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZaika 2.38 / Melchenko 1.53
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Melchenko)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #11800480
Zaika2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Melchenko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZaika0wins
AwayMelchenko1wins
Melchenko leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricZaikaMelchenkoZ − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.033.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZaikaMelchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 958 vs 75 / 15850.4%47.5%483 / 958 vs 75 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelchenkoZaika 2.38/Melchenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Melchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
L—B. Zaika—3A. Melchenko—0
B. Zaika10
WSep 6 · 18:00V. Smyk3.259470B. Zaika1.331111113WSep 6 · 17:00B. Zaika1.6111113113K. Klymenko2.20831191WSep 6 · 16:00B. Zaika1.7311811113S. Baranskyi2.00611391WSep 6 · 14:30B. Zaika1.4411112O. Leonenko2.63560WSep 6 · 12:30B. Zaika1.3611311113O. Ovsiienko3.00811651WSep 2 · 18:30B. Zaika1.571111113O. Ovsiienko2.257380WSep 2 · 16:30O. Mytsyk2.25861181B. Zaika1.5711116113LSep 2 · 15:30B. Zaika1.6111681192M. Stetsenko2.20611116113LSep 2 · 14:30V. Smyk3.5011137123B. Zaika1.2851111101LSep 2 · 13:00B. Zaika1.5791111552K. Klymenko2.25115811113
A. Melchenko10
WAug 29 · 12:05I. Efimenko1.3391040A. Melchenko3.251112113LAug 29 · 10:35A. Melchenko1.737990Y. Kovshun2.001111113LAug 29 · 08:35A. Troyan1.83111111113A. Melchenko1.83871391LAug 29 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.5011116113A. Melchenko2.50871191LAug 29 · 05:35A. Kotiash1.8311118113A. Melchenko1.83791191LAug 8 · 10:08A. Melchenko1.65811461A. Troyan2.1011511113LAug 8 · 08:35Y. Volkov1.801111123A. Melchenko1.9146100LAug 8 · 07:35A. Melchenko1.61811101222A. Lobanov2.201191210113WAug 8 · 06:35A. Troyan2.00106111262A. Melchenko1.731211510113WAug 8 · 05:35A. Melchenko1.67611144123O. Volynets2.101171211102
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